Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen prediction & stats

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Regular Season - 9 · Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk

Kortrijk stats & fixtures · KV Mechelen stats & fixtures

Kortrijk take on KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League on 23 October 2026. The Ghost makes KV Mechelen favourites at 38%, with the draw at 30%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals46%2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%4.16
Over 4.5 goals11%9.26
Under 0.5 goals10%10.19
Under 1.5 goals27%3.67
Under 2.5 goals54%1.84
Under 3.5 goals76%1.32
Under 4.5 goals89%1.12
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.92
Both teams to score: No48%2.09

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.5

Kortrijk 5.1 · KV Mechelen 4.5

Total cornersOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.560%40%
9.548%52%
10.536%64%
11.526%74%

Expected cards: 3.9

Kortrijk 2.0 · KV Mechelen 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
1.589%11%
2.574%26%
3.554%46%
4.535%65%
5.521%79%

Expected shots on target: 8.1

Kortrijk 4.3 · KV Mechelen 3.8

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.569%31%
7.555%45%
8.542%58%
9.531%69%
10.521%79%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (311 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.3%
  2. 0–0 9.8%
  3. 0–1 9.2%
  4. 1–2 8.5%
  5. 1–0 8.2%
  6. 2–1 7.6%
  7. 0–2 7.1%
  8. 2–0 5.9%

Team news & lineups

Kortrijk

Probable — not confirmed

KV Mechelen

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Kortrijk at home

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.3 per game
Shots on target
3.5 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

KV Mechelen away

2–3–5 in 10 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
3.1 per game
Shots on target
2.6 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Kortrijk v KV Mechelen 3–1
KV Mechelen v Kortrijk 3–0
KV Mechelen v Kortrijk 3–0
Kortrijk v KV Mechelen 0–3
Kortrijk v KV Mechelen 3–1

Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 86% 1.16
Home +1.5 handicap 82% 1.22
Away Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.37
Home/Away double chance 70% 1.43
Home Over 0.5 team goals 69% 1.44
Draw/Away double chance 68% 1.47
Away +0.5 handicap 68% 1.47
Home +0.5 handicap 62% 1.61
Home/Draw double chance 62% 1.61
Away -0.5 handicap 38% 2.63
Away Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.66
Home Over 1.5 team goals 33% 3.01
Home -0.5 handicap 32% 3.12
Away clean sheet 31% 3.27
Home clean sheet 27% 3.69
Away -1.5 handicap 18% 5.62
Away Over 2.5 team goals 14% 6.92
Home -1.5 handicap 14% 7.09
Home Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.47