Dijon vs Metz match stats & report
4–2 Full time
Dijon beat Metz 4–2 in Ligue 2 on 12 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.05–1.33. Metz had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Dijon 23%, the draw 26% and Metz 51%.
Dijon vs Metz match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 2.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.33
- 17 Total shots 12
- 7 Shots on target 4
- 8 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 5
- 13 Shots inside the box 9
- 3 Corners 3
- 17 Fouls 17
- 2 Offsides 5
- 0 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 370 Passes 563
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 19' Goal H. Vargas-Ríos (assist P. Bellon) Dijon
- 23' Yellow card J. Ruiz Metz
- 24' Goal A. Lago Dijon
- 32' Goal Júlio Tavares (assist P. Bellon) Dijon
- 44' Goal P. Fall (assist J. Deminguet) Metz
- 62' Yellow card F. Miguel Metz
- 69' Goal Q. Bernard Dijon
- 72' Yellow card C. Devenish Metz
- 88' Goal P. Fall (assist B. Song) Metz
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 23%Dijon fair odds 4.41
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.83
- 51%Metz fair odds 1.95
Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.44 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.81 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.28 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
Dijon 4.9 · Metz 3.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Dijon 1.8 · Metz 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 10.1
Dijon 6.1 · Metz 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (298 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.4%
- 1–2 10.1%
- 0–1 9.1%
- 0–2 8.9%
- 0–0 7.2%
- 2–1 6.1%
- 1–3 5.6%
- 2–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Dijon
Bench Samy Olivier Chouchane , W. Diouf , I. Bouleghcha , Y. Barka , T. Dong , Ilan Marie-Rose, A. Ntamack , B. Ndezi , Luis Puleri
Metz
Bench P. Sy , A. Agne Ba , M. Bokele Mputu , T. Dos Santos, Abdourahmane Mbodj, U. Mboula , I. Mohamed , Ibou Sané , B. Song
Form guide
Dijon at home
4–1–2 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 2.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 7
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Metz away
0–6–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.00 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.95 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 4.04 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.33 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.64 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.41 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 9% | 10.70 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.99 |