Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Arsenal W stats & fixtures · Birmingham City W stats & fixtures
Arsenal W drew with Birmingham City W 1–1 in the FA WSL on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.58–0.83. Arsenal W had 76% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Arsenal W 79%, the draw 14% and Birmingham City W 7%.
Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W match statistics
- 76% Ball possession 24%
- 2.58 Expected goals (xG) 0.83
- 27 Total shots 5
- 4 Shots on target 1
- 17 Shots off target 2
- 6 Blocked shots 2
- 17 Shots inside the box 1
- 11 Corners 1
- 9 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 618 Passes 207
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 53' Goal (assist N. Herron) Birmingham City W
- 66' Goal (assist G. Stanway) Arsenal W
- 70' Yellow card G. Stanway Arsenal W
- 72' Yellow card N. Herron Birmingham City W
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 79%Arsenal W fair odds 1.26
- 14%Draw fair odds 7.20
- 7%Birmingham City W fair odds 14.59
Most likely score 2-0 (10.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 31.71 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.36 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.18 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.8
Arsenal W 8.4 · Birmingham City W 2.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 2.5
Arsenal W 1.2 · Birmingham City W 1.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 11.2
Arsenal W 9.3 · Birmingham City W 1.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 10.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 11.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 12.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 13.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (105 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.9%
- 3–0 9.7%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 3–1 8.5%
- 1–0 7.2%
- 4–0 6.5%
- 1–1 6.4%
- 4–1 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Arsenal W
Bench I Damm, A. Borbe , S. Catley , C. Foord , E. Fox , É. de Almeida , Taylor Hinds, G. Reuteler
Birmingham City W
Bench Chelsea Cornet, Martha Harris, R. Holloway , Lee Geum-Min , W. Leidhammar , J. Rastocle , V. Sarri , K. Startup , L Thomas
Form guide
Arsenal W at home
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 7 / 10
- Corners
- 8.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.1 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Birmingham City W away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 2.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 21% | 4.82 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.38 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.82 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 20% | 5.01 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home/Away double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home clean sheet | 43% | 2.30 |
| Away clean sheet | 6% | 17.97 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 19.82 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 7% | 14.59 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 2% | 44.26 |