Almeria vs Oviedo prediction & stats
Almeria take on Oviedo in the Segunda División on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Almeria favourites at 47%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Almeria vs Oviedo prediction
- 47%Almeria fair odds 2.13
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.86
- 27%Oviedo fair odds 3.68
Most likely score 1-1 (12.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.89 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.71 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.51 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Almeria 4.4 · Oviedo 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 5.5
Almeria 2.4 · Oviedo 3.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 5.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 6.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 7.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.3
Almeria 5.2 · Oviedo 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (472 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.1%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 2–0 7.5%
- 1–0 7.5%
- 1–2 7.0%
- 0–0 6.4%
- 2–2 5.8%
- 3–1 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Almeria
- 14 Javi Muñoz Midfielder
- 1 Andrés Fernández Goalkeeper
- 18 F. Bonini Defender
- 17 B. Cipenga Midfielder
- 11 Sergio Arribas Midfielder
- 29 S. Džodić Midfielder
- 22 D. Chirino Defender
- 2 Marcos Luna Defender
- 21 Chumi Defender
- 24 Miguel de la Fuente Attacker
- 15 Leonardo Lelo Defender
Oviedo
- 23 Carlos Domínguez Defender
- 12 Dani Calvo Defender
- 5 Y. Didi Midfielder
- 10 Alberto Reina Midfielder
- 8 Mikel Goti Midfielder
- 15 S. Rodriguez Defender
- 13 Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper
- 21 David Jiménez Defender
- 6 Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
- 20 Pablo Sáenz Midfielder
- 16 Aritz Aldasoro Midfielder
Form guide
Almeria at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Oviedo away
3–0–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 2.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Almeria vs Oviedo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo v Almeria | 1–1 | |
| Almeria v Oviedo | 1–2 | |
| Almeria v Oviedo | 1–1 | |
| Oviedo v Almeria | 3–2 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.88 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.13 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.76 |
| Home clean sheet | 28% | 3.55 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.68 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.92 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.09 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.52 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.32 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.20 |