Leganes vs Mallorca prediction & stats

Segunda División · Spain · Regular Season - 11 · Municipal de Butarque, Leganes

Leganes stats & fixtures · Mallorca stats & fixtures

Leganes take on Mallorca in the Segunda División on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Mallorca favourites at 36%, with the draw at 33%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 15.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 45%.

Leganes vs Mallorca prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (15.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals87%1.16
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals36%2.76
Over 3.5 goals17%5.91
Over 4.5 goals7%15.07
Under 0.5 goals13%7.42
Under 1.5 goals35%2.84
Under 2.5 goals64%1.57
Under 3.5 goals83%1.20
Under 4.5 goals93%1.07
Both teams to score: Yes45%2.23
Both teams to score: No55%1.81

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.1

Leganes 4.6 · Mallorca 4.5

Total cornersOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.555%45%
9.542%58%
10.531%69%
11.522%78%

Expected cards: 4.9

Leganes 2.2 · Mallorca 2.7

Total cardsOverUnder
2.586%14%
3.571%29%
4.554%46%
5.537%63%
6.523%77%

Expected shots on target: 7.7

Leganes 3.5 · Mallorca 4.2

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.576%24%
6.563%37%
7.550%50%
8.537%63%
9.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (472 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 15.2%
  2. 0–0 13.5%
  3. 0–1 11.5%
  4. 1–0 10.2%
  5. 1–2 7.6%
  6. 0–2 7.4%
  7. 2–1 6.8%
  8. 2–0 6.1%

Team news & lineups

Leganes

Probable — not confirmed

Mallorca

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Leganes at home

5–2–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
3.9 per game
Shots on target
4.3 per game

45% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Mallorca away

2–3–5 in 10 matches

Scored
0.6 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
4.3 per game
Shots on target
3.2 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Leganes vs Mallorca head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Mallorca v Leganes 0–0
Leganes v Mallorca 0–1

Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Leganes vs Mallorca head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 88% 1.14
Home +1.5 handicap 85% 1.18
Away +0.5 handicap 69% 1.45
Draw/Away double chance 69% 1.45
Away Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.48
Home/Away double chance 67% 1.49
Home Over 0.5 team goals 64% 1.56
Home/Draw double chance 64% 1.56
Home +0.5 handicap 64% 1.56
Away -0.5 handicap 36% 2.78
Away clean sheet 36% 2.78
Home clean sheet 33% 3.07
Home -0.5 handicap 31% 3.23
Away Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.24
Home Over 1.5 team goals 27% 3.67
Away -1.5 handicap 15% 6.49
Home -1.5 handicap 12% 8.03
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.68
Home Over 2.5 team goals 8% 11.81