Real Sociedad II vs Almeria match stats & report
2–4 Full time
Real Sociedad II stats & fixtures · Almeria stats & fixtures
Real Sociedad II lost to Almeria 2–4 in the Segunda División on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.59–1.91. Real Sociedad II had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Real Sociedad II 32%, the draw 25% and Almeria 43%.
Real Sociedad II vs Almeria match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 1.59 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
- 21 Total shots 7
- 9 Shots on target 4
- 7 Shots off target 3
- 5 Blocked shots 0
- 14 Shots inside the box 4
- 10 Corners 2
- 14 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 484 Passes 448
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 23' Goal B. Cipenga (assist Javi Muñoz) Almeria
- 34' Yellow card Dani Díaz Real Sociedad II
- 37' Yellow card Jorge Pulido Almeria
- 38' Goal Miguel de la Fuente Almeria
- 49' Yellow card Javier Soroeta Real Sociedad II
- 54' Penalty scored Sergio Arribas Almeria
- 58' Goal Lander Astiazarán (assist Dani Díaz) Real Sociedad II
- 90+5' Goal Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Real Sociedad II
- 90+6' Own goal Rupérez Almeria
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 32%Real Sociedad II fair odds 3.11
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.05
- 43%Almeria fair odds 2.31
Most likely score 1-1 (11.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.35 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.99 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.88 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.0
Real Sociedad II 4.5 · Almeria 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 5.6
Real Sociedad II 3.0 · Almeria 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 5.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 6.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 7.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Real Sociedad II 4.8 · Almeria 4.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (469 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.1%
- 1–2 9.1%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 2–2 6.4%
- 0–2 6.0%
- 0–1 5.6%
- 1–3 5.3%
- 0–0 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Real Sociedad II
Bench Andrews Adjabeng , Gorka Carrera , Jon Eceizabarrena , Jon Garro , Arkaitz Mariezkurrena , Lander Olasagasti , J. Oleaga , Sydney Osazuwa , A. Unax , Unax Agote
Almeria
Bench Adri Embarba , Thalys , Quim Junyent , Á. Yaakobishvili , Álex Sola , Álex Muñoz , Jon Morcillo , Nico Melamed , Fernando Martínez , K. Kone , Chumi , Léo Baptistão
Form guide
Real Sociedad II at home
1–3–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Almeria away
6–0–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.4 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Real Sociedad II vs Almeria head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria v Real Sociedad II | 5–1 | |
| Real Sociedad II v Almeria | 2–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.20 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.11 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.34 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 57% | 1.76 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.88 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home clean sheet | 17% | 5.77 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.26 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.47 |