Almeria vs Leganes match stats & report
3–0 Full time
Almeria beat Leganes 3–0 in the Segunda División on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.25–0.43. Almeria had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Almeria 56%, the draw 24% and Leganes 19%.
Almeria vs Leganes match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 1.25 Expected goals (xG) 0.43
- 18 Total shots 7
- 8 Shots on target 1
- 6 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 11 Shots inside the box 4
- 8 Corners 3
- 15 Fouls 25
- 1 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 5
- 0 Red cards 0
- 587 Passes 327
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 13' Yellow card Marvel Leganes
- 52' Goal Miguel de la Fuente (assist S. Džodić) Almeria
- 57' Goal Miguel de la Fuente (assist B. Cipenga) Almeria
- 61' Goal D. Chirino (assist Quim Junyent) Almeria
- 66' Yellow card Y. Kechta Leganes
- 67' Yellow card Enric Franquesa Leganes
- 74' Yellow card Javi Muñoz Almeria
- 77' Yellow card Javi Montero Leganes
- 82' Yellow card Nico Melamed Almeria
- 90' Yellow card Álex Millán Leganes
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 56%Almeria fair odds 1.78
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.11
- 19%Leganes fair odds 5.14
Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.73 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.55 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.13 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.31 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Almeria 4.9 · Leganes 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 5.1
Almeria 2.2 · Leganes 2.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 5.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 7.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.6
Almeria 6.0 · Leganes 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (470 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.5%
- 2–1 10.4%
- 2–0 9.5%
- 1–0 8.9%
- 0–0 6.4%
- 3–1 6.3%
- 3–0 5.8%
- 1–2 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Almeria
Bench Nico Melamed , Fernando Martínez , Marcos Luna , Jon Morcillo , Jorge Pulido , Á. Yaakobishvili , Leonardo Lelo , Miguel de la Fuente , K. Kone , Adri Embarba , Léo Baptistão
Leganes
Bench Andrés Campos , A. Diawara , Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed, Raúl Fernández , Enric Franquesa , Y. Kechta , Álex Millán , Javi Montero , P. Soko , Rubén Pulido , Álex Sancris , U. del Cura
Form guide
Almeria at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Leganes away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.8 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Almeria vs Leganes head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria v Leganes | 2–1 | |
| Leganes v Almeria | 0–3 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.51 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.28 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.14 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.88 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.44 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.05 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.68 |
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.88 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.87 |