Manchester City W vs Arsenal W match stats & report
4–2 Full time
Manchester City W stats & fixtures · Arsenal W stats & fixtures
Manchester City W beat Arsenal W 4–2 in the FA WSL on 4 October 2026. Arsenal W had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Manchester City W 41%, the draw 26% and Arsenal W 33%.
Manchester City W vs Arsenal W match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 9 Total shots 16
- 5 Shots on target 9
- 3 Shots off target 4
- 1 Blocked shots 3
- 7 Shots inside the box 13
- 3 Corners 8
- 6 Fouls 7
- 2 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 442 Passes 491
- 7 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 43' Goal L. Baum Arsenal W
- 45+1' Goal L. Hemp Manchester City W
- 49' Goal A. Russo Arsenal W
- 63' Goal K. Casparij (assist L. Hemp) Manchester City W
- 72' Goal L. Hemp Manchester City W
- 82' Yellow card Arsenal W
- 84' Goal K. Shaw (assist A. Fujino) Manchester City W
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 41%Manchester City W fair odds 2.43
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.89
- 33%Arsenal W fair odds 3.02
Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.97 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 17.36 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.70 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
Manchester City W 5.0 · Arsenal W 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 12.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 2.2
Manchester City W 1.1 · Arsenal W 1.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Manchester City W 4.6 · Arsenal W 4.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (110 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.8%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 1–2 7.9%
- 2–2 6.2%
- 2–0 6.2%
- 1–0 6.2%
- 0–0 5.8%
- 0–1 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Manchester City W
Bench L. Wienroither , I. Beney , Laura Blindkilde Brown, K. Casparij , Grace Clinton, E. Cumings , Mayzee Davies , M. Fowler , Gracie Prior
Arsenal W
Bench Olivia Smith, S. Blackstenius , S. Catley , S. Cerci , C. Foord , S. Holmberg , F. Maanum , G. Reuteler , Misa Rodriguez
Form guide
Manchester City W at home
9–1–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 7.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 9.8 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Arsenal W away
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Manchester City W vs Arsenal W head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal W v Manchester City W | 1–0 | |
| Manchester City W v Arsenal W | 3–2 | |
| Manchester City W v Arsenal W | 3–4 | |
| Arsenal W v Manchester City W | 2–2 | |
| Manchester City W v Arsenal W | 1–2 | |
| Arsenal W v Manchester City W | 2–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.40 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.52 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.62 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.22 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 59% | 1.70 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.02 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.28 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.14 |