Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Aston Villa W stats & fixtures · Crystal Palace W stats & fixtures
Aston Villa W drew with Crystal Palace W 1–1 in the FA WSL on 4 October 2026. Aston Villa W had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Aston Villa W 60%, the draw 20% and Crystal Palace W 19%.
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W match statistics
- 59% Ball possession 41%
- 16 Total shots 12
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 8 Shots off target 6
- 3 Blocked shots 2
- 9 Shots inside the box 7
- 5 Corners 4
- 6 Fouls 8
- 3 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 589 Passes 404
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 35' Yellow card L. Lloyd-Smith Crystal Palace W
- 55' Goal N. Maritz Aston Villa W
- 74' Goal Crystal Palace W
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 60%Aston Villa W fair odds 1.65
- 20%Draw fair odds 4.88
- 19%Crystal Palace W fair odds 5.25
Most likely score 2-1 (10.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 27.16 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.46 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score: No | 34% | 2.93 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Aston Villa W 5.7 · Crystal Palace W 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 2.8
Aston Villa W 1.3 · Crystal Palace W 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.6
Aston Villa W 5.8 · Crystal Palace W 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (110 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.0%
- 1–1 8.8%
- 2–0 7.6%
- 3–1 7.4%
- 2–2 5.7%
- 1–0 5.7%
- 3–0 5.7%
- 1–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Aston Villa W
Bench M. Hijikata , S. Kelly , R. Maltby , M. McAulay , G. Mullet , Lily Murphy, E. Ramsey , K. Scott
Crystal Palace W
Bench S. Yáñez , A. Weerden , M. Sharpe , S. O’Brien , H. Nolan , J. Napier , Kirsty Howat, S. Enge , C. Cosme
Form guide
Aston Villa W at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 2.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Crystal Palace W away
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace W v Aston Villa W | 3–1 | |
| Aston Villa W v Crystal Palace W | 3–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 40% | 2.48 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 38% | 2.60 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.27 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.65 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 62% | 1.63 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.53 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 40% | 2.53 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.25 |
| Home clean sheet | 28% | 3.58 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.09 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 10.12 |