Merthyr Town vs Morecambe prediction & stats

National League - North · England · National League North - 13

Merthyr Town stats & fixtures · Morecambe stats & fixtures

Merthyr Town take on Morecambe in the National League - North (National League North - 13) on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Merthyr Town favourites at 45%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Merthyr Town vs Morecambe prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.06
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%5.26
Under 0.5 goals6%16.46
Under 1.5 goals18%5.53
Under 2.5 goals41%2.41
Under 3.5 goals64%1.56
Under 4.5 goals81%1.23
Both teams to score: Yes61%1.63
Both teams to score: No39%2.59

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.0%
  2. 2–1 9.5%
  3. 1–2 7.3%
  4. 2–0 7.1%
  5. 1–0 7.0%
  6. 0–0 6.1%
  7. 2–2 6.0%
  8. 3–1 5.3%

Team news & lineups

Merthyr Town

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Morecambe

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Form guide

Merthyr Town at home

4–4–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Morecambe away

2–1–7 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
10.0 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 87% 1.15
Home Over 0.5 team goals 82% 1.22
Away +1.5 handicap 76% 1.32
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Away Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.36
Home/Draw double chance 71% 1.41
Home +0.5 handicap 71% 1.41
Away +0.5 handicap 55% 1.83
Draw/Away double chance 55% 1.83
Home Over 1.5 team goals 51% 1.97
Home -0.5 handicap 45% 2.21
Away Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.60
Away -0.5 handicap 29% 3.45
Home clean sheet 26% 3.78
Home -1.5 handicap 24% 4.09
Home Over 2.5 team goals 24% 4.13
Away clean sheet 18% 5.46
Away Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.60
Away -1.5 handicap 13% 7.48