Chesterfield vs Crewe prediction & stats

League Two · England · Regular Season - 13 · SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield

Chesterfield stats & fixtures · Crewe stats & fixtures

Chesterfield take on Crewe in League Two on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Chesterfield favourites at 52%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Chesterfield vs Crewe prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%6.61
Under 0.5 goals7%13.53
Under 1.5 goals22%4.59
Under 2.5 goals47%2.13
Under 3.5 goals69%1.44
Under 4.5 goals85%1.18
Both teams to score: Yes56%1.80
Both teams to score: No44%2.25

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.9

Chesterfield 6.1 · Crewe 3.8

Total cornersOverUnder
7.575%25%
8.564%36%
9.552%48%
10.540%60%
11.530%70%

Expected cards: 4.1

Chesterfield 1.8 · Crewe 2.3

Total cardsOverUnder
2.576%24%
3.558%42%
4.539%61%
5.523%77%
6.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 8.0

Chesterfield 5.0 · Crewe 3.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.554%46%
8.541%59%
9.529%71%
10.520%80%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.5%
  2. 2–1 10.1%
  3. 1–0 9.3%
  4. 2–0 9.1%
  5. 0–0 7.4%
  6. 1–2 6.0%
  7. 3–1 5.6%
  8. 2–2 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Chesterfield

Probable — not confirmed

Crewe

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Chesterfield at home

4–4–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.3 per game
Shots on target
5.7 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Crewe away

4–5–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
3.7 per game
Shots on target
2.2 per game

50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Chesterfield vs Crewe head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Chesterfield v Crewe 2–0
Crewe v Chesterfield 3–3
Chesterfield v Crewe 1–3
Crewe v Chesterfield 0–5

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Chesterfield vs Crewe head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 91% 1.10
Home Over 0.5 team goals 82% 1.22
Home +0.5 handicap 78% 1.29
Home/Draw double chance 78% 1.29
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Away +1.5 handicap 71% 1.40
Away Over 0.5 team goals 66% 1.52
Home -0.5 handicap 52% 1.94
Home Over 1.5 team goals 51% 1.94
Away +0.5 handicap 48% 2.07
Draw/Away double chance 48% 2.07
Home clean sheet 34% 2.94
Away Over 1.5 team goals 29% 3.42
Home -1.5 handicap 29% 3.50
Home Over 2.5 team goals 25% 4.06
Away -0.5 handicap 22% 4.50
Away clean sheet 18% 5.62
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 10.43
Away -1.5 handicap 9% 11.04