Rochdale vs Accrington ST prediction & stats

League Two · England · Regular Season - 13 · Spotland Stadium, Rochdale

Rochdale stats & fixtures · Accrington ST stats & fixtures

Rochdale take on Accrington ST in League Two on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Accrington ST favourites at 36%, with the draw at 31%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Rochdale vs Accrington ST prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals89%1.12
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals43%2.34
Over 3.5 goals22%4.57
Over 4.5 goals9%10.58
Under 0.5 goals11%9.28
Under 1.5 goals29%3.40
Under 2.5 goals57%1.75
Under 3.5 goals78%1.28
Under 4.5 goals91%1.10
Both teams to score: Yes50%1.99
Both teams to score: No50%2.01

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.8

Rochdale 5.6 · Accrington ST 4.2

Total cornersOverUnder
7.574%26%
8.563%37%
9.551%49%
10.539%61%
11.529%71%

Expected cards: 4.0

Rochdale 1.8 · Accrington ST 2.3

Total cardsOverUnder
2.575%25%
3.556%44%
4.537%63%
5.522%78%
6.512%88%

Expected shots on target: 7.6

Rochdale 3.5 · Accrington ST 4.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.575%25%
6.562%38%
7.548%52%
8.535%65%
9.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.6%
  2. 0–0 10.8%
  3. 0–1 9.5%
  4. 1–0 9.1%
  5. 1–2 8.0%
  6. 2–1 7.7%
  7. 0–2 6.8%
  8. 2–0 6.4%

Team news & lineups

Rochdale

Probable — not confirmed

Accrington ST

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Rochdale at home

4–3–3 in 10 matches

Scored
2.0 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.7 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Accrington ST away

1–3–6 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.7 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
3.9 per game
Shots on target
3.2 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 85% 1.17
Home +1.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Away Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.42
Home/Away double chance 69% 1.45
Home Over 0.5 team goals 69% 1.45
Away +0.5 handicap 66% 1.51
Draw/Away double chance 66% 1.51
Home +0.5 handicap 64% 1.55
Home/Draw double chance 64% 1.55
Away -0.5 handicap 36% 2.81
Away Over 1.5 team goals 34% 2.92
Home -0.5 handicap 34% 2.98
Home Over 1.5 team goals 33% 3.04
Away clean sheet 31% 3.24
Home clean sheet 30% 3.37
Away -1.5 handicap 16% 6.28
Home -1.5 handicap 15% 6.79
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.08
Home Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.67