York vs Accrington ST prediction & stats
York stats & fixtures · Accrington ST stats & fixtures
York take on Accrington ST in League Two on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes York favourites at 53%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 56%.
York vs Accrington ST prediction
- 53%York fair odds 1.88
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.92
- 21%Accrington ST fair odds 4.67
Most likely score 1-1 (12.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.14 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.22 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.30 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.29 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
York 6.3 · Accrington ST 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.0
York 1.6 · Accrington ST 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
York 4.9 · Accrington ST 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.1%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 2–0 9.2%
- 1–0 9.1%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 3–1 5.9%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 3–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
York
- 1 Alfie Shane McNally Goalkeeper
- 10 O. Pearce Attacker
- 2 R. Fallowfield Defender
- 28 O. Banks Midfielder
- 5 Z. Johnson Defender
- 7 J. Grey Attacker
- 8 A. Hunt Midfielder
- 3 M. Kitching Defender
- 12 H. Boyes Midfielder
- 23 J. Felix Midfielder
- 30 A. Newby Midfielder
Accrington ST
- 17 D. Matthews Defender
- 22 J. Anderson Defender
- 38 C. O'Brien Defender
- 30 C. Warren Midfielder
- 2 D. Love Midfielder
- 23 T. Walton Attacker
- 14 Stefan Mols Midfielder
- 1 L. Moulden Goalkeeper
- 33 D. Tutonda Midfielder
- 39 J. Woods Attacker
- 10 Alex Henderson Attacker
Form guide
York at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Accrington ST away
1–3–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
York vs Accrington ST head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST v York | 2–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.13 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.13 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.97 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.94 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.67 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.41 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.35 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.82 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.48 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.40 |