Barnet vs Swindon Town prediction & stats

League Two · England · Regular Season - 12 · The Hive Stadium, London

Barnet stats & fixtures · Swindon Town stats & fixtures

Barnet take on Swindon Town in League Two on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Barnet favourites at 62%, with the draw at 21%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 10.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Barnet vs Swindon Town prediction

Most likely score 2-1 (10.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals95%1.05
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.46
Over 4.5 goals23%4.39
Under 0.5 goals5%20.72
Under 1.5 goals15%6.52
Under 2.5 goals37%2.72
Under 3.5 goals59%1.69
Under 4.5 goals77%1.29
Both teams to score: Yes60%1.67
Both teams to score: No40%2.49

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 11.0

Barnet 7.9 · Swindon Town 3.1

Total cornersOverUnder
8.574%26%
9.564%36%
10.553%47%
11.542%58%
12.532%68%

Expected cards: 3.7

Barnet 1.3 · Swindon Town 2.5

Total cardsOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.571%29%
3.550%50%
4.532%68%
5.518%82%

Expected shots on target: 8.6

Barnet 5.3 · Swindon Town 3.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.574%26%
7.562%38%
8.549%51%
9.536%64%
10.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–1 10.5%
  2. 1–1 9.8%
  3. 2–0 9.3%
  4. 1–0 7.6%
  5. 3–1 7.3%
  6. 3–0 6.5%
  7. 2–2 5.1%
  8. 0–0 4.8%

Team news & lineups

Barnet

Probable — not confirmed

Swindon Town

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Barnet at home

4–5–1 in 10 matches

Scored
2.2 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
7.4 per game
Shots on target
6.6 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Swindon Town away

1–2–7 in 10 matches

Scored
0.6 per game
Conceded
2.3 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
3.4 per game
Shots on target
1.5 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Barnet vs Swindon Town head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Barnet v Swindon Town 1–2
Swindon Town v Barnet 0–2

Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Barnet vs Swindon Town head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home Over 1.5 team goals 64% 1.56
Home Over 2.5 team goals 37% 2.72
Home -1.5 handicap 39% 2.57
Away Over 0.5 team goals 66% 1.51
Home/Draw double chance 83% 1.20
Home Over 0.5 team goals 89% 1.13
Home/Away double chance 79% 1.27
Away +1.5 handicap 61% 1.64
Away Over 1.5 team goals 29% 3.40
Draw/Away double chance 38% 2.63
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 10.34
Away -1.5 handicap 7% 15.09
Home +1.5 handicap 93% 1.07
Home +0.5 handicap 83% 1.20
Home -0.5 handicap 62% 1.61
Away +0.5 handicap 38% 2.63
Home clean sheet 34% 2.96
Away -0.5 handicap 17% 6.03
Away clean sheet 11% 8.95