Chesterfield vs Colchester prediction & stats

Tue 20 Oct, 18:45 UTC

League Two · England · Regular Season - 12 · Proact Stadium, Chesterfield

Chesterfield stats & fixtures · Colchester stats & fixtures

Chesterfield take on Colchester in League Two on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Chesterfield favourites at 50%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Chesterfield vs Colchester prediction

50%Chesterfield fair odds 1.99
27%Draw fair odds 3.66
22%Colchester fair odds 4.46

Most likely score 1-1 (13.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	92%	1.09
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.32
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.02
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.66
Over 4.5 goals	13%	7.75
Under 0.5 goals	8%	11.84
Under 1.5 goals	24%	4.10
Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.98
Under 3.5 goals	73%	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	87%	1.15
Both teams to score: Yes	53%	1.89
Both teams to score: No	47%	2.13

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.7

Chesterfield 5.9 · Colchester 3.8

Total corners	Over	Under
7.5	73%	27%
8.5	62%	38%
9.5	50%	50%
10.5	38%	62%
11.5	28%	72%

Expected cards: 4.4

Chesterfield 1.9 · Colchester 2.5

Total cards	Over	Under
2.5	80%	20%
3.5	63%	37%
4.5	44%	56%
5.5	28%	72%
6.5	16%	84%

Expected shots on target: 8.0

Chesterfield 4.8 · Colchester 3.2

Total shots on target	Over	Under
6.5	67%	33%
7.5	54%	46%
8.5	41%	59%
9.5	29%	71%
10.5	20%	80%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1–1 13.1%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
2–0 9.4%
0–0 8.4%
1–2 5.9%
0–1 5.7%
3–1 5.2%

Team news & lineups

Chesterfield

Probable — not confirmed

23 R. Boot Goalkeeper
31 J. Randall —
18 L. Marsh Midfielder
6 J. Simpson Defender
33 R. Hutton Defender
19 L. Gordon Defender
10 L. Bonis Attacker
20 G. McEachran Midfielder
24 D. Markanday Midfielder
8 R. Stirk Midfielder
5 K. McFadzean Defender

Colchester

Probable — not confirmed

12 M. Sesay Midfielder
22 T. Lo-Tutala Goalkeeper
3 E. Iandolo Defender
5 J. Tucker Defender
6 P. Digby —
27 O. Thorn Midfielder
26 J. Williams Midfielder
15 B. Lubala Midfielder
24 F. Terry —
2 R. Hunt Defender
44 S. Kuffour —

Form guide

Chesterfield at home

4–4–2 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.5 per game
Conceded: 1.0 per game
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Corners: 5.3 per game
Shots on target: 5.7 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Colchester away

2–3–5 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.5 per game
Conceded: 1.4 per game
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Corners: 3.5 per game
Shots on target: 3.5 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Chesterfield vs Colchester head-to-head

Date	Match	Score
3 Mar 26	Chesterfield v Colchester	3–0
4 Oct 25	Colchester v Chesterfield	6–2
4 Mar 25	Colchester v Chesterfield	1–0
22 Oct 24	Chesterfield v Colchester	1–1

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Chesterfield vs Colchester head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap	91%	1.10
Home Over 0.5 team goals	80%	1.24
Home +0.5 handicap	78%	1.29
Home/Draw double chance	78%	1.29
Away +1.5 handicap	73%	1.37
Home/Away double chance	73%	1.38
Away Over 0.5 team goals	64%	1.56
Home -0.5 handicap	50%	1.99
Away +0.5 handicap	50%	2.01
Draw/Away double chance	50%	2.01
Home Over 1.5 team goals	48%	2.07
Home clean sheet	36%	2.80
Away Over 1.5 team goals	27%	3.64
Home -1.5 handicap	27%	3.71
Away -0.5 handicap	22%	4.46
Home Over 2.5 team goals	22%	4.54
Away clean sheet	20%	5.09
Away -1.5 handicap	9%	11.21
Away Over 2.5 team goals	9%	11.58