Rochdale vs Grimsby prediction & stats
Rochdale take on Grimsby in League Two on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Grimsby favourites at 47%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Rochdale vs Grimsby prediction
- 25%Rochdale fair odds 4.07
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.54
- 47%Grimsby fair odds 2.12
Most likely score 1-1 (13.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.25 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.11 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Rochdale 4.8 · Grimsby 5.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Rochdale 2.2 · Grimsby 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 7.4
Rochdale 2.8 · Grimsby 4.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 8.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 9.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.5%
- 0–1 10.2%
- 1–2 9.6%
- 0–0 8.9%
- 0–2 8.9%
- 2–1 6.3%
- 1–0 6.3%
- 2–2 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Rochdale
- 13 O. Adebayo-Rowling Defender
- 3 Kaiden Wilson Defender
- 21 Kane Taylor Midfielder
- 45 G. Middleton Midfielder
- 2 C. Tasker Defender
- 39 D. Brown Attacker
- 8 H. Gilmour Midfielder
- 44 A. Flint Defender
- 17 B. Adeeko Midfielder
- 7 C. Hayes Midfielder
- 20 Sam William John Waller Goalkeeper
Grimsby
- 4 K. Green Midfielder
- 5 H. Rodgers Defender
- 30 C. Vernam Midfielder
- 31 C. Pym Goalkeeper
- 14 J. Amaluzor Midfielder
- 2 M. Kacurri Defender
- 7 J. Walker —
- 9 Iwan Morgan Attacker
- 15 G. Turi Midfielder
- 24 D. Tharme —
- 28 F. Cartwright —
Form guide
Rochdale at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Grimsby away
1–6–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Rochdale vs Grimsby head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Rochdale v Grimsby | 2–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 35% | 2.88 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home clean sheet | 21% | 4.66 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.09 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.07 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.04 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.50 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.03 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.86 |