Northampton vs Tranmere prediction & stats

League Two · England · Regular Season - 12 · Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Northampton stats & fixtures · Tranmere stats & fixtures

Northampton take on Tranmere in League Two on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Northampton favourites at 42%, with the draw at 32%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 45%.

Northampton vs Tranmere prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals87%1.15
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals38%2.66
Over 3.5 goals18%5.57
Over 4.5 goals7%13.90
Under 0.5 goals13%7.82
Under 1.5 goals34%2.95
Under 2.5 goals62%1.60
Under 3.5 goals82%1.22
Under 4.5 goals93%1.08
Both teams to score: Yes45%2.20
Both teams to score: No55%1.83

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.8

Northampton 6.5 · Tranmere 3.4

Total cornersOverUnder
7.574%26%
8.563%37%
9.551%49%
10.540%60%
11.529%71%

Expected cards: 4.0

Northampton 1.7 · Tranmere 2.4

Total cardsOverUnder
2.576%24%
3.557%43%
4.538%62%
5.522%78%
6.512%88%

Expected shots on target: 7.7

Northampton 4.6 · Tranmere 3.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.576%24%
6.563%37%
7.549%51%
8.536%64%
9.525%75%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.8%
  2. 0–0 12.8%
  3. 1–0 12.3%
  4. 0–1 8.7%
  5. 2–0 8.7%
  6. 2–1 8.3%
  7. 1–2 6.2%
  8. 0–2 5.0%

Team news & lineups

Northampton

Probable — not confirmed

Tranmere

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Northampton at home

1–3–6 in 10 matches

Scored
0.6 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.7 per game
Shots on target
2.8 per game

50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Tranmere away

1–5–4 in 10 matches

Scored
0.9 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
3.9 per game
Shots on target
3.0 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 90% 1.11
Away +1.5 handicap 81% 1.24
Home/Draw double chance 74% 1.36
Home +0.5 handicap 74% 1.36
Home Over 0.5 team goals 71% 1.40
Home/Away double chance 68% 1.47
Away Over 0.5 team goals 61% 1.63
Draw/Away double chance 58% 1.71
Away +0.5 handicap 58% 1.71
Home -0.5 handicap 42% 2.40
Home clean sheet 39% 2.58
Home Over 1.5 team goals 35% 2.82
Away clean sheet 29% 3.49
Away -0.5 handicap 26% 3.80
Away Over 1.5 team goals 25% 4.07
Home -1.5 handicap 19% 5.23
Home Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.69
Away -1.5 handicap 10% 9.94
Away Over 2.5 team goals 7% 13.96