Newport County vs York match stats & report

1–1 Full time

League Two · England · Regular Season - 11 · Rodney Parade, Newport

Newport County stats & fixtures · York stats & fixtures

Newport County drew with York 1–1 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.04–1.09. Newport County had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Newport County 29%, the draw 26% and York 45%.

Newport County vs York match statistics

Newport CountyYork

52% Ball possession 48%
1.04 Expected goals (xG) 1.09
17 Total shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
11 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
11 Shots inside the box 5
6 Corners 0
12 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
426 Passes 404
0 Goalkeeper saves 2

Goals and cards

4' Goal O. Pearce (assist A. Hunt) York
17' Yellow card M. Dibley-Dias Newport County
24' Red card J. Malcolm York
47' Yellow card O. Pearce York
53' Yellow card J. Grey York
54' Goal K. Etete (assist T. Nyakuhwa) Newport County
79' Yellow card H. Biggins Newport County
87' Yellow card K. Etete Newport County

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

29%Newport County fair odds 3.40
26%Draw fair odds 3.86
45%York fair odds 2.24

Most likely score 1-1 (12.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94%	1.07
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.72
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.81
Over 4.5 goals	19%	5.32
Under 0.5 goals	6%	16.27
Under 1.5 goals	18%	5.48
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.40
Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.55
Under 4.5 goals	81%	1.23
Both teams to score: Yes	61%	1.63
Both teams to score: No	39%	2.58

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.0

Newport County 4.4 · York 5.5

Total corners	Over	Under
7.5	76%	24%
8.5	65%	35%
9.5	53%	47%
10.5	41%	59%
11.5	31%	69%

Expected cards: 3.9

Newport County 1.8 · York 2.1

Total cards	Over	Under
1.5	89%	11%
2.5	73%	27%
3.5	54%	46%
4.5	35%	65%
5.5	20%	80%

Expected shots on target: 8.6

Newport County 3.7 · York 4.9

Total shots on target	Over	Under
6.5	74%	26%
7.5	62%	38%
8.5	49%	51%
9.5	37%	63%
10.5	26%	74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1–1 12.1%
1–2 9.5%
2–1 7.3%
0–2 7.0%
0–1 7.0%
0–0 6.1%
2–2 6.0%
1–3 5.2%

Team news & lineups

Newport County

Confirmed 4-2-3-1 H. Mullins

1 J. Wright

16 M. Jacob 4 K. Cameron 5 L. Jenkins 22 C. Norman

6 C. Brennan 24 M. Dibley-Dias

20 Y. Bamba 10 H. Biggins 21 T. Nyakuhwa

9 S. Gwengwe

Bench K. Etete , K. Evans , G. Garner , M. Adu-Poku , S. MacDonald , D. Sassi , M. Smith

York

Confirmed 3-4-2-1 S. Lindsey

1 Alfie Shane McNally

3 M. Kitching 5 Z. Johnson 2 R. Fallowfield

12 H. Boyes 28 O. Banks 8 A. Hunt 23 J. Felix

10 O. Pearce 7 J. Grey

18 J. Malcolm

Bench A. Newby , A. Palmer , A. Read , J. King , J. Hunt , G. Sykes-Kenworthy , F. Maguire

Form guide

Newport County at home

4–4–2 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.6 per game
Conceded: 1.7 per game
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Corners: 6.6 per game
Shots on target: 5.4 per game

36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

York away

2–4–4 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.1 per game
Conceded: 1.6 per game
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Corners: 5.2 per game
Shots on target: 3.4 per game

18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Home Over 1.5 team goals	39%	2.58
Home/Draw double chance	55%	1.81
Home Over 2.5 team goals	15%	6.54
Home +0.5 handicap	55%	1.81
Home -0.5 handicap	29%	3.40
Home Over 0.5 team goals	74%	1.36
Home -1.5 handicap	14%	7.33
Home +1.5 handicap	76%	1.31
Away Over 0.5 team goals	81%	1.23
Home/Away double chance	74%	1.35
Home clean sheet	19%	5.36
Away Over 1.5 team goals	50%	1.99
Away +0.5 handicap	71%	1.42
Away +1.5 handicap	86%	1.16
Draw/Away double chance	71%	1.42
Away Over 2.5 team goals	24%	4.22
Away -0.5 handicap	45%	2.24
Away -1.5 handicap	24%	4.18
Away clean sheet	26%	3.81