Grimsby vs Northampton match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Grimsby stats & fixtures · Northampton stats & fixtures
Grimsby lost to Northampton 0–2 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.77–1.66. Grimsby had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Grimsby 54%, the draw 29% and Northampton 17%.
Grimsby vs Northampton match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 2.77 Expected goals (xG) 1.66
- 13 Total shots 10
- 3 Shots on target 6
- 9 Shots off target 2
- 1 Blocked shots 2
- 11 Shots inside the box 9
- 3 Corners 7
- 9 Fouls 14
- 2 Offsides 2
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 0
- 384 Passes 355
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 28' Yellow card D. Tharme Grimsby
- 34' Goal Matthew Warhurst (assist L. Evans) Northampton
- 42' Yellow card C. Vernam Grimsby
- 54' Yellow card Joshua Alan Powell Northampton
- 58' Goal J. Guthrie (assist E. Moore) Northampton
- 61' Red card E. Pruti Grimsby
- 72' Yellow card J. Walker Grimsby
- 74' Yellow card J. Guthrie Northampton
- 75' Yellow card Grimsby
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 54%Grimsby fair odds 1.84
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.45
- 17%Northampton fair odds 5.99
Most likely score 1-0 (14.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.25 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.80 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.75 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
Grimsby 5.8 · Northampton 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 12.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Grimsby 1.4 · Northampton 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 7.1
Grimsby 4.4 · Northampton 2.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 6.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 7.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 9.5 | 19% | 81% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 14.7%
- 1–1 13.3%
- 2–0 11.9%
- 0–0 11.9%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 0–1 6.1%
- 3–0 5.8%
- 3–1 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Grimsby
Bench H. Cartwright , A. Cook , Cian Doyle , S. Finch , J. Foulkes , Ryley Reynolds , F. Cartwright
Northampton
Bench J. Maxwell , E. List , S. Hoskins , T. Fornah , M. Dyche , J. Dadge , S. Chambers
Form guide
Grimsby at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.2 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Northampton away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.58 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.40 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.06 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.84 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.52 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.99 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.27 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 17% | 5.78 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 18.39 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 24.40 |