Crewe vs Rochdale match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Crewe beat Rochdale 3–2 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.53–0.89. Rochdale had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Crewe 54%, the draw 27% and Rochdale 19%.
Crewe vs Rochdale match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 1.53 Expected goals (xG) 0.89
- 10 Total shots 15
- 4 Shots on target 3
- 3 Shots off target 4
- 3 Blocked shots 8
- 9 Shots inside the box 8
- 1 Corners 7
- 7 Fouls 7
- 1 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 370 Passes 560
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 39' Goal M. Holíček (assist J. Gibson) Crewe
- 45' Goal J. Gibson (assist O. Lunt) Crewe
- 50' Yellow card J. White Crewe
- 55' Goal J. Gibson (assist Kyle Ure) Crewe
- 65' Own goal J. Tabiner Rochdale
- 90' Goal A. Flint (assist E. Francis) Rochdale
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 54%Crewe fair odds 1.85
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.70
- 19%Rochdale fair odds 5.28
Most likely score 1-1 (12.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.93 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.56 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.07 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.00 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Crewe 5.7 · Rochdale 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Crewe 1.5 · Rochdale 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Crewe 4.4 · Rochdale 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 7.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 8.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.9%
- 1–0 11.6%
- 2–0 10.6%
- 2–1 10.0%
- 0–0 9.0%
- 3–0 5.7%
- 0–1 5.4%
- 3–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Crewe
Bench Calum Agius , R. Hutchinson , I. Lawlor , C. McNeill , A. Thibaut , C. Thomas , Stan Dancey
Rochdale
Bench Z. Silcott-Duberry , S. Sherring , L. Hannant , E. Francis , E. Dieseruvwe , S. Beckwith , J. Spaven
Form guide
Crewe at home
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Rochdale away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.49 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.38 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.85 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.02 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.42 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 46% | 2.18 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.18 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.38 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.28 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.33 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.35 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.34 |