Accrington ST vs Gillingham match stats & report

3–1 Full time

League Two · England · Regular Season - 11 · The Crown Ground, Accrington

Accrington ST stats & fixtures · Gillingham stats & fixtures

Accrington ST beat Gillingham 3–1 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.46–0.54. Accrington ST had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Accrington ST 39%, the draw 30% and Gillingham 31%.

Accrington ST vs Gillingham match statistics

Accrington STGillingham

56% Ball possession 44%
1.46 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
21 Total shots 6
7 Shots on target 0
10 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 6
11 Corners 1
8 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
345 Passes 312
0 Goalkeeper saves 4

Goals and cards

6' Yellow card D. Matthews Accrington ST
11' Goal Stefan Mols Accrington ST
19' Yellow card D. Love Accrington ST
21' Yellow card H. Waldock Gillingham
28' Goal J. Woods (assist Stefan Mols) Accrington ST
31' Own goal D. Matthews Gillingham
33' Yellow card A. Little Gillingham
66' Goal J. Woods (assist Stefan Mols) Accrington ST
79' Yellow card Ronan Hale Gillingham

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

39%Accrington ST fair odds 2.58
30%Draw fair odds 3.30
31%Gillingham fair odds 3.24

Most likely score 1-1 (14.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	90%	1.12
Over 1.5 goals	72%	1.40
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.27
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.38
Over 4.5 goals	10%	9.96
Under 0.5 goals	10%	9.68
Under 1.5 goals	28%	3.52
Under 2.5 goals	56%	1.79
Under 3.5 goals	77%	1.30
Under 4.5 goals	90%	1.11
Both teams to score: Yes	51%	1.96
Both teams to score: No	49%	2.04

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.7

Accrington ST 4.8 · Gillingham 5.0

Total corners	Over	Under
7.5	73%	27%
8.5	62%	38%
9.5	50%	50%
10.5	39%	61%
11.5	28%	72%

Expected cards: 4.2

Accrington ST 1.9 · Gillingham 2.2

Total cards	Over	Under
2.5	78%	22%
3.5	59%	41%
4.5	41%	59%
5.5	25%	75%
6.5	14%	86%

Expected shots on target: 8.5

Accrington ST 4.8 · Gillingham 3.7

Total shots on target	Over	Under
6.5	73%	27%
7.5	60%	40%
8.5	47%	53%
9.5	35%	65%
10.5	25%	75%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1–1 14.4%
0–0 10.3%
1–0 9.8%
2–1 8.5%
0–1 8.3%
2–0 7.4%
1–2 7.3%
0–2 5.7%

Team news & lineups

Accrington ST

Confirmed 3-4-1-2 J. Doolan

1 L. Moulden

22 J. Anderson 17 D. Matthews 2 D. Love

33 D. Tutonda 14 Stefan Mols 16 Aidan Borland 38 C. O'Brien

39 J. Woods

30 C. Warren 23 T. Walton

Bench C. Grant , T. Moore , J. Rogerson , Oliver Smith, J. Smith , C. Brown

Gillingham

Confirmed 3-4-3 G. Ainsworth

1 O. Wright

26 L. Dobbs 19 O. Beckles 5 A. Smith

16 J. Brophy 8 A. Little 14 R. McKenzie 22 N. Freeman

10 Ronan Hale 11 L. Sillah 24 H. Waldock

Bench E. Coleman , B. Dack , J. Daley , T. Eaves , S. Kendall , R. Luthra , G. McCleary

Form guide

Accrington ST at home

4–6–0 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.7 per game
Conceded: 1.1 per game
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Corners: 6.0 per game
Shots on target: 6.3 per game

19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Gillingham away

4–2–4 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.8 per game
Conceded: 1.8 per game
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Corners: 2.8 per game
Shots on target: 2.6 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Accrington ST vs Gillingham head-to-head

Date	Match	Score
6 Apr 26	Gillingham v Accrington ST	2–0
2 Aug 25	Accrington ST v Gillingham	1–1
15 Mar 25	Accrington ST v Gillingham	1–1
12 Oct 24	Gillingham v Accrington ST	1–2
13 Jan 24	Accrington ST v Gillingham	1–2
12 Aug 23	Gillingham v Accrington ST	1–0

The full Accrington ST vs Gillingham head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Home clean sheet	32%	3.12
Away clean sheet	27%	3.66
Away +0.5 handicap	61%	1.63
Draw/Away double chance	61%	1.63
Home/Draw double chance	69%	1.45
Away +1.5 handicap	82%	1.22
Home +1.5 handicap	87%	1.15
Home +0.5 handicap	69%	1.45
Away Over 0.5 team goals	68%	1.47
Away Over 1.5 team goals	32%	3.17
Away -0.5 handicap	31%	3.24
Home Over 0.5 team goals	73%	1.38
Home/Away double chance	70%	1.44
Home -0.5 handicap	39%	2.58
Home -1.5 handicap	18%	5.52
Home Over 1.5 team goals	37%	2.68
Away -1.5 handicap	13%	7.56
Home Over 2.5 team goals	14%	7.03
Away Over 2.5 team goals	11%	9.27