Swindon Town vs Walsall match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Swindon Town stats & fixtures · Walsall stats & fixtures
Swindon Town drew with Walsall 1–1 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.91–1.75. Walsall had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Swindon Town 33%, the draw 28% and Walsall 39%.
Swindon Town vs Walsall match statistics
- 38% Ball possession 62%
- 1.91 Expected goals (xG) 1.75
- 17 Total shots 18
- 5 Shots on target 8
- 8 Shots off target 8
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 10 Shots inside the box 14
- 2 Corners 10
- 5 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 4
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 289 Passes 459
- 7 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal A. Drinan (assist S. Negru) Swindon Town
- 55' Goal Taione Richard Evumena Sodje Walsall
- 59' Yellow card Walsall
- 77' Yellow card J. Ball Swindon Town
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 33%Swindon Town fair odds 3.01
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.64
- 39%Walsall fair odds 2.54
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.40 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Swindon Town 5.6 · Walsall 5.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 11.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Swindon Town 1.9 · Walsall 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Swindon Town 4.3 · Walsall 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 0–1 7.4%
- 0–0 7.3%
- 0–2 6.6%
- 1–0 6.5%
- 2–2 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Swindon Town
Bench K. Majekodunmi , T. Nichols , J. Pearman , J. Snowdon , M. Virtue-Thick , Lewis Moore Ward , L. Millard
Walsall
Bench J. Furlong , L. Simper , Tom Wooster , C. Crew , E. Ahui , A. Dallas , A. Adomah
Form guide
Swindon Town at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Walsall away
2–6–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Swindon Town vs Walsall head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town v Walsall | 2–1 | |
| Walsall v Swindon Town | 2–1 | |
| Walsall v Swindon Town | 0–1 | |
| Swindon Town v Walsall | 0–4 | |
| Walsall v Swindon Town | 2–1 | |
| Swindon Town v Walsall | 2–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.10 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.83 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.18 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.54 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.24 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 61% | 1.65 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.30 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.37 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.01 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.39 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.42 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.50 |