Port Vale vs Chesterfield match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Port Vale stats & fixtures · Chesterfield stats & fixtures
Port Vale beat Chesterfield 1–0 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.60–0.30. Chesterfield had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Port Vale 36%, the draw 30% and Chesterfield 34%.
Port Vale vs Chesterfield match statistics
- 36% Ball possession 64%
- 0.60 Expected goals (xG) 0.30
- 5 Total shots 9
- 3 Shots on target 4
- 2 Shots off target 3
- 0 Blocked shots 2
- 1 Shots inside the box 4
- 0 Corners 10
- 14 Fouls 6
- 3 Offsides 5
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 318 Passes 556
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 15' Yellow card C. Humphreys Port Vale
- 30' Yellow card J. Lawrence-Gabriel Port Vale
- 45' Goal O. Hernández Port Vale
- 54' Yellow card R. Stirk Chesterfield
- 59' Yellow card J. Headley Port Vale
- 64' Yellow card L. Gordon Chesterfield
- 69' Yellow card Port Vale
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 36%Port Vale fair odds 2.78
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.37
- 34%Chesterfield fair odds 2.92
Most likely score 1-1 (14.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.03 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.85 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.52 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.13 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.8
Port Vale 4.9 · Chesterfield 4.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Port Vale 2.2 · Chesterfield 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.3
Port Vale 3.7 · Chesterfield 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 7.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 8.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 9.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.2%
- 0–0 9.5%
- 1–0 8.6%
- 0–1 8.3%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 1–2 8.0%
- 2–0 6.6%
- 0–2 6.2%
Team news & lineups
Port Vale
Bench M. Asamoah , G. Byers , K. John , J. Smith , R. Walters , K. Figueroa , O. Lynch
Chesterfield
Bench T. Naylor , T. Pearce , L. Mandeville , J. Koroma , W. Grigg , K. Dyer , J. Eccleston
Form guide
Port Vale at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 8 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Chesterfield away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Port Vale vs Chesterfield head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield v Port Vale | 1–1 | |
| Chesterfield v Port Vale | 1–1 | |
| Port Vale v Chesterfield | 1–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 6.01 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.72 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.78 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.48 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.19 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.56 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.82 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.92 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.60 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.44 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.62 |