Oldham vs Cheltenham match stats & report
4–1 Full time
Oldham stats & fixtures · Cheltenham stats & fixtures
Oldham beat Cheltenham 4–1 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.24–0.95. Cheltenham had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Oldham 53%, the draw 27% and Cheltenham 20%.
Oldham vs Cheltenham match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 2.24 Expected goals (xG) 0.95
- 18 Total shots 9
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 9 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 10 Shots inside the box 5
- 4 Corners 5
- 6 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 2
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 460 Passes 510
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 18' Yellow card S. McWilliams Cheltenham
- 19' Goal C. Kavanagh (assist F. Fawunmi) Oldham
- 24' Yellow card C. McCann Cheltenham
- 25' Goal J. Robson (assist F. Fawunmi) Oldham
- 41' Goal F. Fawunmi (assist C. Kavanagh) Oldham
- 45+1' Goal F. Willcox Cheltenham
- 81' Goal J. Robson (assist O. Hammond) Oldham
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 53%Oldham fair odds 1.90
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.69
- 20%Cheltenham fair odds 4.93
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.81 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.19 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.40 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.05 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Oldham 5.8 · Cheltenham 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Oldham 1.8 · Cheltenham 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Oldham 5.4 · Cheltenham 2.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 1–0 11.0%
- 2–0 10.1%
- 2–1 10.0%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 0–1 5.5%
- 1–2 5.5%
- 3–0 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Oldham
Bench M. Fondop-Talum , O. Hammond , J. Hawkes , Kai Payne , L. Temple , Wilson Wilson, G. Scott-Morriss
Cheltenham
Bench Favour Onukwuli , M. Diallo , J. Bickerstaff , R. Cundy , Jack Robinson, K. Otchere , Archie Philip Hill
Form guide
Oldham at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cheltenham away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Oldham vs Cheltenham head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oldham v Cheltenham | 2–1 | |
| Cheltenham v Oldham | 0–3 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.23 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.61 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 4.03 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.50 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.93 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.43 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.64 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.98 |