Tranmere vs Rochdale match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Tranmere drew with Rochdale 1–1 in League Two on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.06–0.56. Rochdale had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Tranmere 45%, the draw 29% and Rochdale 26%.
Tranmere vs Rochdale match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 2.06 Expected goals (xG) 0.56
- 15 Total shots 7
- 4 Shots on target 1
- 7 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 9 Shots inside the box 5
- 5 Corners 3
- 8 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 372 Passes 522
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 15' Goal T. Conlon (assist W. Vaulks) Tranmere
- 57' Goal D. Brown (assist C. Tasker) Rochdale
- 90+1' Yellow card O. Adebayo-Rowling Rochdale
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Tranmere fair odds 2.22
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.49
- 26%Rochdale fair odds 3.80
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.35 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.07 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.13 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Tranmere 4.9 · Rochdale 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Tranmere 1.8 · Rochdale 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Tranmere 4.7 · Rochdale 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (527 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 1–0 9.9%
- 2–1 9.4%
- 0–0 9.0%
- 2–0 8.4%
- 1–2 6.7%
- 0–1 6.7%
- 2–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Tranmere
Bench R. Watson , C. Baker-Richardson , B. Faulkner , J. Ironside , L. McGee , L. O'Connor , Charlie Veevers
Rochdale
Bench E. Francis , E. Dieseruvwe , S. Beckwith , L. Hannant , S. Sherring , Z. Silcott-Duberry , Sam William John Waller
Form guide
Tranmere at home
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Rochdale away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Tranmere vs Rochdale head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Tranmere v Rochdale | 0–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.80 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.44 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.34 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.50 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.22 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.08 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.98 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.16 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.35 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.37 |