Bristol Rovers vs Barnet match stats & report
1–3 Full time
Bristol Rovers stats & fixtures · Barnet stats & fixtures
Bristol Rovers lost to Barnet 1–3 in League Two on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.21–1.91. Barnet had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bristol Rovers 33%, the draw 27% and Barnet 40%.
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 2.21 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
- 18 Total shots 17
- 4 Shots on target 3
- 6 Shots off target 6
- 8 Blocked shots 8
- 14 Shots inside the box 10
- 8 Corners 2
- 16 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 0
- 234 Passes 356
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 4' Goal E. Harrison Bristol Rovers
- 29' Yellow card S. Forde Bristol Rovers
- 31' Yellow card I. Kanu Barnet
- 65' Yellow card B. Purrington Bristol Rovers
- 65' Yellow card Bristol Rovers
- 79' Goal A. Senior (assist K. Tshimanga) Barnet
- 85' Red card T. Leigh Bristol Rovers
- 86' Goal Z. Williams Barnet
- 90+5' Yellow card D. Collinge Barnet
- 90+5' Goal K. Tshimanga (assist D. Ajayi) Barnet
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 33%Bristol Rovers fair odds 3.05
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.68
- 40%Barnet fair odds 2.50
Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.13 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.45 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Bristol Rovers 4.1 · Barnet 5.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Bristol Rovers 2.2 · Barnet 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 7.9
Bristol Rovers 3.7 · Barnet 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 7.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 8.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 9.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (527 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.8%
- 1–2 9.0%
- 2–1 7.9%
- 0–1 7.2%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 0–2 6.6%
- 1–0 6.2%
- 2–2 5.8%
Team news & lineups
Bristol Rovers
Bench R. Russell-Denny , J. Quigley , A. Kilgour , Charlie Binns , A. Appiah , R. Smallwood , J. Sparkes
Barnet
Bench D. Ajayi , B. Comley , M. Kenlock , Anthony Haralambous, N. Tavares , Aaron Liwala-Lukizalamu , J. Maskell
Form guide
Bristol Rovers at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Barnet away
7–3–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers v Barnet | 0–2 | |
| Barnet v Bristol Rovers | 4–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 20% | 4.94 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.50 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.86 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.14 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.54 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.05 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.40 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.49 |