Swindon Town vs Crewe match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Swindon Town stats & fixtures · Crewe stats & fixtures
Swindon Town lost to Crewe 0–1 in League Two on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.77–1.27. Swindon Town had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Swindon Town 45%, the draw 27% and Crewe 29%.
Swindon Town vs Crewe match statistics
- 57% Ball possession 43%
- 0.77 Expected goals (xG) 1.27
- 12 Total shots 11
- 1 Shots on target 4
- 7 Shots off target 5
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 7 Shots inside the box 8
- 6 Corners 2
- 9 Fouls 8
- 0 Offsides 3
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 378 Passes 290
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 14' Yellow card O. Clarke Swindon Town
- 60' Goal J. Gibson (assist J. March) Crewe
- 64' Yellow card M. Holíček Crewe
- 90+6' Yellow card C. Ripley Swindon Town
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Swindon Town fair odds 2.25
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.72
- 29%Crewe fair odds 3.50
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.22 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.08 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.82 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.40 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Swindon Town 5.1 · Crewe 5.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.3
Swindon Town 1.8 · Crewe 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
Swindon Town 4.8 · Crewe 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (527 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 1–0 7.9%
- 2–0 7.5%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 0–0 7.1%
- 0–1 5.7%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Swindon Town
Bench J. Ball , D. Butterworth , B. Kirkman , J. Snowdon , M. Virtue-Thick , L. Millard , Lewis Moore Ward
Crewe
Bench M. Holíček , I. Lawlor , C. McNeill , L. Moore , C. Thomas , Stan Dancey , Calum Agius
Form guide
Swindon Town at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Crewe away
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Swindon Town vs Crewe head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town v Crewe | 1–2 | |
| Crewe v Swindon Town | 0–3 | |
| Swindon Town v Crewe | 0–0 | |
| Crewe v Swindon Town | 0–0 | |
| Crewe v Swindon Town | 2–1 | |
| Swindon Town v Crewe | 2–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.28 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.25 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.62 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.50 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.80 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.96 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.50 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.51 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.81 |