Lincoln vs Burnley prediction & stats

Championship · England · Regular Season - 12 · LNER stadium, Lincoln

Lincoln stats & fixtures · Burnley stats & fixtures

Lincoln take on Burnley in the Championship on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Burnley favourites at 41%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Lincoln vs Burnley prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.0%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Over 3.5 goals25%3.99
Over 4.5 goals11%8.73
Under 0.5 goals9%10.66
Under 1.5 goals26%3.81
Under 2.5 goals53%1.88
Under 3.5 goals75%1.33
Under 4.5 goals89%1.13
Both teams to score: Yes53%1.89
Both teams to score: No47%2.12

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.4

Lincoln 4.7 · Burnley 5.7

Total cornersOverUnder
8.569%31%
9.558%42%
10.546%54%
11.535%65%
12.526%74%

Expected cards: 4.1

Lincoln 1.9 · Burnley 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
2.577%23%
3.559%41%
4.540%60%
5.524%76%
6.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 8.8

Lincoln 4.1 · Burnley 4.7

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.564%36%
8.551%49%
9.539%61%
10.528%72%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (578 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.0%
  2. 0–1 9.4%
  3. 0–0 9.4%
  4. 1–2 8.9%
  5. 0–2 7.6%
  6. 1–0 7.5%
  7. 2–1 7.2%
  8. 2–0 5.3%

Team news & lineups

Lincoln

Probable — not confirmed

Burnley

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Lincoln at home

4–2–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.1 per game
Shots on target
4.1 per game

23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Burnley away

1–2–7 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
2.2 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.2 per game
Shots on target
4.2 per game

9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 87% 1.15
Home +1.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Away Over 0.5 team goals 75% 1.33
Home/Away double chance 71% 1.42
Draw/Away double chance 70% 1.42
Away +0.5 handicap 70% 1.42
Home Over 0.5 team goals 68% 1.46
Home/Draw double chance 59% 1.69
Home +0.5 handicap 59% 1.69
Away -0.5 handicap 41% 2.44
Away Over 1.5 team goals 40% 2.47
Home Over 1.5 team goals 32% 3.11
Away clean sheet 32% 3.17
Home -0.5 handicap 30% 3.37
Home clean sheet 25% 4.01
Away -1.5 handicap 20% 5.02
Away Over 2.5 team goals 16% 6.13
Home -1.5 handicap 13% 7.82
Home Over 2.5 team goals 11% 8.97