Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction & stats

Championship · England · Regular Season - 12 · Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent

Stoke City stats & fixtures · Bristol City stats & fixtures

Stoke City take on Bristol City in the Championship on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Stoke City favourites at 40%, with the draw at 30%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals44%2.27
Over 3.5 goals23%4.37
Over 4.5 goals10%9.92
Under 0.5 goals10%9.71
Under 1.5 goals28%3.53
Under 2.5 goals56%1.79
Under 3.5 goals77%1.30
Under 4.5 goals90%1.11
Both teams to score: Yes51%1.96
Both teams to score: No49%2.04

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.3

Stoke City 6.0 · Bristol City 4.3

Total cornersOverUnder
8.568%32%
9.556%44%
10.545%55%
11.534%66%
12.525%75%

Expected cards: 4.0

Stoke City 2.1 · Bristol City 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
2.576%24%
3.557%43%
4.538%62%
5.523%77%
6.512%88%

Expected shots on target: 8.3

Stoke City 4.3 · Bristol City 4.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.571%29%
7.558%42%
8.545%55%
9.533%67%
10.523%77%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (578 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.4%
  2. 0–0 10.3%
  3. 1–0 10.0%
  4. 2–1 8.6%
  5. 0–1 8.1%
  6. 2–0 7.6%
  7. 1–2 7.2%
  8. 0–2 5.5%

Team news & lineups

Stoke City

Probable — not confirmed

Bristol City

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Stoke City at home

4–1–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
6.1 per game
Shots on target
3.6 per game

21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Bristol City away

4–4–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.6 per game
Shots on target
5.2 per game

44% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Stoke City vs Bristol City head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Bristol City v Stoke City 2–0
Stoke City v Bristol City 5–1
Bristol City v Stoke City 2–0
Stoke City v Bristol City 2–2
Stoke City v Bristol City 4–0
Bristol City v Stoke City 2–3

The full Stoke City vs Bristol City head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 87% 1.15
Away +1.5 handicap 81% 1.23
Home Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.36
Home/Draw double chance 70% 1.43
Home +0.5 handicap 70% 1.43
Home/Away double chance 70% 1.43
Away Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Draw/Away double chance 60% 1.66
Away +0.5 handicap 60% 1.66
Home -0.5 handicap 40% 2.51
Home Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.63
Home clean sheet 33% 3.06
Away Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.25
Away -0.5 handicap 30% 3.34
Away clean sheet 27% 3.75
Home -1.5 handicap 19% 5.31
Home Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.79
Away -1.5 handicap 13% 7.89
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.62