West Ham vs Southampton prediction & stats
West Ham stats & fixtures · Southampton stats & fixtures
West Ham take on Southampton in the Championship on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes West Ham favourites at 53%, with the draw at 23%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 10.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 65%.
West Ham vs Southampton prediction
- 53%West Ham fair odds 1.88
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.37
- 24%Southampton fair odds 4.18
Most likely score 1-1 (10.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.00 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 22.38 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.87 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
West Ham 6.2 · Southampton 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.8
West Ham 2.0 · Southampton 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 9.6
West Ham 5.8 · Southampton 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (578 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.1%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 2–0 7.2%
- 3–1 6.6%
- 1–2 6.2%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 1–0 6.0%
- 3–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
West Ham
- 3 M. Kilman Defender
- 20 J. Bowen Midfielder
- 1 M. Hermansen Goalkeeper
- 15 K. Mavropanos Defender
- 7 A. Engels Midfielder
- 5 Morato Defender
- 10 M. Solomon Midfielder
- 14 D. Mukasa Midfielder
- 34 J. Veltman Defender
- 19 Pablo Attacker
- 17 M. Kante Attacker
Southampton
- 13 K. Schlotterbeck Defender
- 1 Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper
- 30 J. Ward-Prowse Midfielder
- 10 F. Azaz Midfielder
- 7 Léo Scienza Midfielder
- 14 J. Bree Defender
- 9 C. Larin Attacker
- 5 J. Stephens Defender
- 4 F. Downes Midfielder
- 3 R. Manning Defender
- 26 C. Bragg Midfielder
Form guide
West Ham at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.9 per game
32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Southampton away
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
West Ham vs Southampton head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham v Southampton | 1–1 | |
| Southampton v West Ham | 0–1 | |
| West Ham v Southampton | 1–0 | |
| Southampton v West Ham | 1–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.14 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.14 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 32% | 3.16 |
| Home clean sheet | 26% | 3.81 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.18 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.55 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.21 |