Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction & stats
Cardiff stats & fixtures · Birmingham stats & fixtures
Cardiff take on Birmingham in the Championship on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Birmingham favourites at 38%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 64%.
Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction
- 37%Cardiff fair odds 2.71
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.91
- 38%Birmingham fair odds 2.66
Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.78 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 18.03 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 6.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: No | 36% | 2.76 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Cardiff 5.9 · Birmingham 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 11.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Cardiff 1.7 · Birmingham 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 10.4
Cardiff 5.3 · Birmingham 5.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (578 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.7%
- 1–2 8.5%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 2–2 6.3%
- 0–1 5.5%
- 0–0 5.5%
- 0–2 5.5%
- 1–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Cardiff
- 1 N. Trott Goalkeeper
- 11 O. Tanner Midfielder
- 18 A. Robertson Midfielder
- 4 G. Osho Defender
- 3 J. Bagan Defender
- 27 J. Colwill Midfielder
- 8 J. Moylan Midfielder
- 16 C. Willock Midfielder
- 45 Cian Ashford Midfielder
- 38 P. Ng Defender
- 5 K. Bielik Defender
Birmingham
- 17 L. Millar Midfielder
- 4 C. Klarer Defender
- 28 J. Stansfield Midfielder
- 5 P. Neumann Defender
- 24 T. Iwata Midfielder
- 26 B. Osayi-Samuel Defender
- 1 J. Beadle Goalkeeper
- 20 A. Cochrane Defender
- 14 J. E. Solis Romero Midfielder
- 9 A. Priske Attacker
- 16 P. Roberts Midfielder
Form guide
Cardiff at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.3 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Birmingham away
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cardiff vs Birmingham head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham v Cardiff | 0–1 | |
| Cardiff v Birmingham | 0–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.60 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.60 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.13 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.66 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.71 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.72 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.75 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.82 |
| Home clean sheet | 21% | 4.83 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.20 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.35 |