Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction & stats

Championship · England · Regular Season - 12 · Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Portsmouth stats & fixtures · Millwall stats & fixtures

Portsmouth take on Millwall in the Championship on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Portsmouth favourites at 36%, with the draw at 30%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%4.30
Over 4.5 goals10%9.70
Under 0.5 goals10%9.85
Under 1.5 goals28%3.57
Under 2.5 goals55%1.80
Under 3.5 goals77%1.30
Under 4.5 goals90%1.11
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.94
Both teams to score: No48%2.06

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 11.0

Portsmouth 6.4 · Millwall 4.6

Total cornersOverUnder
8.574%26%
9.564%36%
10.553%47%
11.542%58%
12.532%68%

Expected cards: 3.8

Portsmouth 1.6 · Millwall 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
1.589%11%
2.573%27%
3.553%47%
4.534%66%
5.520%80%

Expected shots on target: 8.4

Portsmouth 4.3 · Millwall 4.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.571%29%
7.558%42%
8.545%55%
9.533%67%
10.523%77%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (578 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.4%
  2. 0–0 10.2%
  3. 1–0 9.2%
  4. 0–1 8.7%
  5. 2–1 8.2%
  6. 1–2 7.8%
  7. 2–0 6.8%
  8. 0–2 6.2%

Team news & lineups

Portsmouth

Probable — not confirmed

Millwall

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Portsmouth at home

4–3–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
6.9 per game
Shots on target
4.8 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Millwall away

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
3.4 per game

9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Portsmouth vs Millwall head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Millwall v Portsmouth 1–3
Portsmouth v Millwall 3–1
Millwall v Portsmouth 2–1
Portsmouth v Millwall 0–1

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Portsmouth vs Millwall head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 85% 1.17
Away +1.5 handicap 83% 1.20
Home Over 0.5 team goals 71% 1.40
Away Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.43
Home/Away double chance 70% 1.43
Home/Draw double chance 66% 1.50
Home +0.5 handicap 66% 1.50
Draw/Away double chance 64% 1.57
Away +0.5 handicap 64% 1.57
Home -0.5 handicap 36% 2.76
Home Over 1.5 team goals 36% 2.80
Away Over 1.5 team goals 34% 2.96
Away -0.5 handicap 34% 2.98
Home clean sheet 30% 3.32
Away clean sheet 29% 3.51
Home -1.5 handicap 17% 6.05
Away -1.5 handicap 15% 6.73
Home Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.53
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.26