Bolton vs Middlesbrough prediction & stats
Bolton stats & fixtures · Middlesbrough stats & fixtures
Bolton take on Middlesbrough in the Championship on 23 October 2026. The Ghost makes Middlesbrough favourites at 45%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Bolton vs Middlesbrough prediction
- 28%Bolton fair odds 3.57
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.70
- 45%Middlesbrough fair odds 2.22
Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.19 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.38 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.77 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.37 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
Bolton 4.8 · Middlesbrough 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Bolton 2.0 · Middlesbrough 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Bolton 4.2 · Middlesbrough 5.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (578 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.8%
- 1–2 9.5%
- 0–1 8.2%
- 0–2 7.6%
- 0–0 7.3%
- 2–1 7.1%
- 1–0 5.8%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Bolton
- 22 Gaizka Larrazabal Defender
- 31 G. Bazunu Goalkeeper
- 18 E. Toal Defender
- 8 J. Sheehan Midfielder
- 11 T. Gale Midfielder
- 10 S. Dalby Attacker
- 21 E. Erhahon Midfielder
- 17 A. Ito Attacker
- 14 A. Famewo Defender
- 5 L. Brunt Defender
- 20 R. Rodrigues Midfielder
Middlesbrough
- 11 A. Cozier-Duberry Attacker
- 10 A. Morris Midfielder
- 2 C. Brittain Midfielder
- 1 R. Vítek Goalkeeper
- 4 A. Phillips Defender
- 29 A. Malanda Defender
- 30 Neto Borges Defender
- 12 L. Ayling Defender
- 8 R. McGree Midfielder
- 7 W. Lankshear Attacker
- 9 T. Conway Midfielder
Form guide
Bolton at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Middlesbrough away
2–6–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bolton vs Middlesbrough head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough v Bolton | 3–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.22 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.41 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.57 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.23 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.63 |
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 4.96 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.83 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.07 |