Birmingham vs QPR match stats & report
3–0 Full time
Birmingham stats & fixtures · QPR stats & fixtures
Birmingham beat QPR 3–0 in the Championship on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.34–1.17. Birmingham had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Birmingham 51%, the draw 27% and QPR 22%.
Birmingham vs QPR match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 1.34 Expected goals (xG) 1.17
- 11 Total shots 12
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 4 Shots off target 2
- 2 Blocked shots 6
- 9 Shots inside the box 6
- 0 Corners 4
- 13 Fouls 7
- 0 Offsides 4
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 509 Passes 447
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 23' Yellow card J. E. Solis Romero Birmingham
- 27' Goal L. Millar (assist T. Iwata) Birmingham
- 44' Yellow card H. Vale QPR
- 49' Goal L. Millar (assist T. Iwata) Birmingham
- 50' Yellow card R. Kolli QPR
- 69' Yellow card C. Klarer Birmingham
- 90+1' Goal D. Gray (assist L. Vázquez) Birmingham
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 51%Birmingham fair odds 1.98
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.69
- 22%QPR fair odds 4.48
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.59 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.53 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.12 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Birmingham 6.3 · QPR 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Birmingham 1.7 · QPR 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Birmingham 5.1 · QPR 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (568 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 1–0 10.1%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 2–0 9.4%
- 0–0 8.2%
- 1–2 5.9%
- 0–1 5.5%
- 3–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Birmingham
Bench R. Allsop , M. Bird , M. Ducksch , D. Fry , T. Gardner-Hickman , D. Gray , E. Laird , L. Vázquez , Carlos Vicente
QPR
Bench J. Varane , C. Ward , K. Saito , J. Obikwu , L. Morrison , N. Madsen , R. Kone , I. Alemayehu , Leon Scarlett
Out and doubtful
- Paik Seung-Ho Birmingham Out — Health problems
- I. Chair QPR Out — Muscle Injury
- K. Saito QPR Out — Inactive
- R. Burrell QPR Out — Inactive
- M. Leonard Birmingham Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- A. S. Mbengue QPR Out — Knee Injury
- D. Cirkin QPR Out — Red Card
- J. Obikwu QPR Out — Health problems
- K. Dembele QPR Out — Knee Injury
- T. Lamptey QPR Out — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Birmingham at home
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
QPR away
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Birmingham vs QPR head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham v QPR | 1–0 | |
| QPR v Birmingham | 2–1 | |
| QPR v Birmingham | 2–1 | |
| Birmingham v QPR | 0–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.98 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 27% | 3.66 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.81 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 73% | 1.38 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.02 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.44 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.02 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.61 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.48 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.19 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.25 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.42 |