Southampton vs Bolton match stats & report
0–0 Full time
Southampton stats & fixtures · Bolton stats & fixtures
Southampton drew with Bolton 0–0 in the Championship on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.91–1.24. Southampton had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Southampton 63%, the draw 21% and Bolton 16%.
Southampton vs Bolton match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 1.91 Expected goals (xG) 1.24
- 14 Total shots 14
- 2 Shots on target 3
- 7 Shots off target 4
- 5 Blocked shots 7
- 11 Shots inside the box 9
- 5 Corners 3
- 8 Fouls 9
- 10 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 611 Passes 366
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 44' Yellow card A. Famewo Bolton
- 59' Yellow card C. Bragg Southampton
- 76' Yellow card L. Brunt Bolton
- 83' Yellow card T. Bair Bolton
- 85' Yellow card K. Matsuki Southampton
- 88' Yellow card L. Stephenson Bolton
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 63%Southampton fair odds 1.59
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.79
- 16%Bolton fair odds 6.12
Most likely score 2-1 (10.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.15 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 22.13 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 6.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.55 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
Southampton 5.8 · Bolton 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Southampton 1.6 · Bolton 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 10.3
Southampton 6.4 · Bolton 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (568 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.4%
- 1–1 9.5%
- 2–0 9.1%
- 3–1 7.5%
- 1–0 7.2%
- 3–0 6.5%
- 2–2 5.2%
- 1–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Southampton
Bench G. Long , C. Jander , S. Edozie , L. Dobbin , Z. Abbott , K. Matsuki , D. Mubama , R. Manning , N. Wood-Gordon
Bolton
Bench J. Bonham , M. Conway , B. Davies , K. Dong , E. Erhahon , R. Hardie , S. Iling-Junior , R. Rodrigues , T. Bair
Out and doubtful
- C. Forino-Joseph Bolton Out — Groin Injury
- F. Downes Southampton Out — Ankle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Southampton at home
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bolton away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 37% | 2.69 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.69 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.32 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.97 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.20 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.20 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 9.46 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 40% | 2.51 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.02 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 15.21 |