Millwall vs Lincoln match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Millwall drew with Lincoln 2–2 in the Championship on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.78–0.75. Millwall had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Millwall 55%, the draw 27% and Lincoln 18%.
Millwall vs Lincoln match statistics
- 70% Ball possession 30%
- 1.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.75
- 18 Total shots 9
- 6 Shots on target 3
- 5 Shots off target 4
- 7 Blocked shots 2
- 13 Shots inside the box 9
- 12 Corners 2
- 14 Fouls 10
- 1 Offsides 6
- 5 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 1
- 391 Passes 179
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 1' Goal A. Coubiș Lincoln
- 33' Goal R. Street (assist S. Bradley) Lincoln
- 35' Yellow card T. Crama Millwall
- 35' Yellow card R. Street Lincoln
- 41' Yellow card F. Draper Lincoln
- 63' Goal K. Lisbie Millwall
- 69' Yellow card A. Coubiș Lincoln
- 72' Yellow card K. Lisbie Millwall
- 82' Goal J. Cooper Millwall
- 84' Red card D. Elerewe Lincoln
- 86' Yellow card Zak Norton Sturge Millwall
- 90+1' Yellow card R. Leonard Millwall
- 90+1' Yellow card C. Elder Lincoln
- 90+2' Yellow card C. Neghli Millwall
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 55%Millwall fair odds 1.83
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.68
- 18%Lincoln fair odds 5.51
Most likely score 1-1 (12.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.61 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.94 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.1
Millwall 7.1 · Lincoln 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 10.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 11.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 12.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Millwall 1.6 · Lincoln 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Millwall 6.0 · Lincoln 2.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (568 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.9%
- 1–0 12.2%
- 2–0 11.0%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 0–0 9.4%
- 3–0 5.8%
- 0–1 5.4%
- 3–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Millwall
Bench A. Doughty , R. Esse , R. Leonard , D. Kelly , E. Baggott , Z. Lovelace , M. Crocombe , J. Osei-Tutu , L. Cundle
Lincoln
Bench C. Elder , J. Honohan , M. Ladefoged , C. Ogbene , I. Olaofe , D. Oyegoke , R. Towler , T. Bayliss , J. Gauci
Out and doubtful
- T. Darikwa Lincoln Out — Knee Injury
- T. Hamer Lincoln Out — Red Card
- M. Ivanovic Millwall Out — Hamstring Injury
- T. Arconte Millwall Out — Ankle Injury
- C. McGrandles Lincoln Out — Red Card
- M. Melia Lincoln Out — Thigh Injury
- C. De Norre Millwall Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Coburn Millwall Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Jensen Millwall Out — Muscle Injury
- M. Luongo Millwall Out — Knee Injury
- M. Servais Millwall Out — Inactive
- R. Esse Millwall Out — Ankle Injury
- A. Coubiș Lincoln Doubtful — Inactive
- R. Hackett-Fairchild Lincoln Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Millwall at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lincoln away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.21 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 45% | 2.21 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.51 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.35 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.83 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home clean sheet | 42% | 2.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.45 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.60 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.23 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.92 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 15.36 |