Watford vs Charlton match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Watford beat Charlton 2–0 in the Championship on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.87–1.31. Watford had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Watford 41%, the draw 31% and Charlton 28%.
Watford vs Charlton match statistics
- 51% Ball possession 49%
- 2.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.31
- 22 Total shots 14
- 10 Shots on target 3
- 9 Shots off target 6
- 3 Blocked shots 5
- 12 Shots inside the box 11
- 4 Corners 3
- 10 Fouls 21
- 0 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 5
- 0 Red cards 0
- 359 Passes 359
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 8
Goals and cards
- 10' Yellow card D. McNamara Charlton
- 17' Yellow card M. Boadu Watford
- 31' Yellow card Iker Bravo Watford
- 32' Yellow card O. Skipp Charlton
- 44' Yellow card T. Campbell Charlton
- 47' Yellow card C. Coventry Charlton
- 58' Goal L. Kjerrumgaard Watford
- 79' Yellow card J. Zemura Watford
- 90+2' Yellow card A. Mwamba Charlton
- 90+4' Goal J. Zemura (assist R. Vata) Watford
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 41%Watford fair odds 2.43
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.27
- 28%Charlton fair odds 3.53
Most likely score 1-1 (14.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 10.69 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 9.24 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 1.98 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Watford 6.3 · Charlton 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Watford 1.8 · Charlton 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.8
Watford 5.4 · Charlton 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (568 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.5%
- 0–0 10.8%
- 1–0 10.7%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 0–1 8.1%
- 2–0 8.1%
- 1–2 6.8%
- 0–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Watford
Bench M. Doumbia , O. Maamma , S. Mavididi , B. Mlacic , D. Bachmann , Amin Nabizada , M. Payero , R. Vata , J. Zemura
Charlton
Bench M. Alli , A. Bell , Tyler Bindon , S. Carey , C. Kelman , H. Knibbs , W. Mannion , M. Mbick , A. Mwamba
Out and doubtful
- J. Ngakia Watford Out — Thigh Injury
- K. Baah Watford Out — Knock
- C. Sichenje Charlton Out — Knee Injury
- M. Godden Charlton Out — Muscle Injury
- N. Chalobah Charlton Out — Muscle Injury
- R. Apter Charlton Out — Knee Injury
- E. Bove Watford Out — Knee Injury
- M. Antonio Watford Out — Inactive
- T. Akomeah Watford Out — Lacking Match Fitness
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Watford at home
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Charlton away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Watford vs Charlton head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Watford v Charlton | 1–1 | |
| Charlton v Watford | 1–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.89 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.43 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.40 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 72% | 1.40 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.14 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.75 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.44 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 59% | 1.70 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.81 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.53 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.48 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.61 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.79 |