Norwich vs Southampton match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Norwich stats & fixtures · Southampton stats & fixtures
Norwich lost to Southampton 0–1 in the Championship on 14 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.09–2.46. Southampton had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Norwich 39%, the draw 25% and Southampton 36%.
Norwich vs Southampton match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 1.09 Expected goals (xG) 2.46
- 12 Total shots 15
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 8 Shots inside the box 11
- 5 Corners 3
- 15 Fouls 9
- 0 Offsides 3
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 439 Passes 469
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 15' Yellow card R. Manning Southampton
- 26' Yellow card Z. Abbott Southampton
- 48' Yellow card Jacob Wright Norwich
- 54' Goal K. Matsuki Southampton
- 77' Yellow card S. Field Norwich
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 39%Norwich fair odds 2.57
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.03
- 36%Southampton fair odds 2.75
Most likely score 1-1 (11.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.30 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.19 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score: No | 34% | 2.92 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Norwich 5.9 · Southampton 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Norwich 2.0 · Southampton 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Norwich 5.0 · Southampton 4.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (563 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.1%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 1–2 8.3%
- 2–2 6.5%
- 2–0 5.4%
- 1–0 5.1%
- 0–2 5.0%
- 0–0 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Norwich
Bench A. Crnac , H. Darling , S. Field , P. Maghoma , C. Ansen , L. Mahovo , J. Makama , A. Musaba , D. Yongwa
Southampton
Bench J. Bree , T. Fellows , C. Jander , C. Larin , G. Long , D. Mubama , Léo Scienza , Welington , N. Wood-Gordon
Out and doubtful
- A. Ahmed Norwich Out — Knee Injury
- M. Topic Norwich Out — Knee Injury
- M. Toure Norwich Out — Shoulder Injury
- C. Bragg Southampton Out — Red Card
- K. McLean Norwich Out — Injury
- L. Mahovo Norwich Out — Ankle Injury
- P. A. Diallo Norwich Out — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Norwich at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Southampton away
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Norwich vs Southampton head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton v Norwich | 1–0 | |
| Norwich v Southampton | 2–1 | |
| Norwich v Southampton | 1–1 | |
| Southampton v Norwich | 4–4 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.36 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.56 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.28 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.26 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 4.91 |
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 4.96 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.26 |