Stoke City vs Middlesbrough match stats & report
2–3 Full time
Stoke City stats & fixtures · Middlesbrough stats & fixtures
Stoke City lost to Middlesbrough 2–3 in the Championship on 13 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.74–2.63. Middlesbrough had 66% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Stoke City 26%, the draw 28% and Middlesbrough 46%.
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough match statistics
- 34% Ball possession 66%
- 0.74 Expected goals (xG) 2.63
- 8 Total shots 20
- 1 Shots on target 9
- 5 Shots off target 5
- 2 Blocked shots 6
- 5 Shots inside the box 16
- 4 Corners 3
- 9 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 297 Passes 594
- 7 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 48' Goal C. Brittain (assist A. Cozier-Duberry) Middlesbrough
- 50' Own goal Neto Borges Stoke City
- 51' Yellow card S. Berhalter Middlesbrough
- 68' Yellow card L. Graham Stoke City
- 73' Goal W. Lankshear Middlesbrough
- 85' Goal R. Boženík (assist G. Hirst) Stoke City
- 90+1' Goal Neto Borges Middlesbrough
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 26%Stoke City fair odds 3.87
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.55
- 46%Middlesbrough fair odds 2.17
Most likely score 1-1 (13.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.87 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.61 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.07 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.17 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Stoke City 5.0 · Middlesbrough 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Stoke City 2.1 · Middlesbrough 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Stoke City 3.8 · Middlesbrough 4.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.5%
- 0–1 9.7%
- 1–2 9.5%
- 0–0 8.6%
- 0–2 8.5%
- 2–1 6.6%
- 1–0 6.3%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Stoke City
Bench L. Bombino , R. Boženík , J. Devenny , B. Gibson , J. Griffiths , G. Hirst , B. Lawal , M. Manhoef , B. Pearson
Middlesbrough
Bench R. McGree , K. Joseph , T. Conway , Leo Castledine , S. Byram , S. Brynn , C. Barron , M. Arfsten , M. Peart-Harris
Out and doubtful
- A. Jones Middlesbrough Out — Calf Injury
- D. Strelec Middlesbrough Out — Injury
- A. Cresswell Stoke City Out — Knee Injury
- R. Pukstas Middlesbrough Out — Injury
- A. Ampah Stoke City Out — Knee Injury
- M. Talovierov Stoke City Out — Red Card
- S. Gallagher Stoke City Out — Injury
- S. Ingelsson Stoke City Out — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Stoke City at home
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Middlesbrough away
2–6–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke City v Middlesbrough | 1–2 | |
| Middlesbrough v Stoke City | 0–0 | |
| Stoke City v Middlesbrough | 1–3 | |
| Middlesbrough v Stoke City | 2–0 | |
| Stoke City v Middlesbrough | 2–0 | |
| Middlesbrough v Stoke City | 0–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.63 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.85 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.87 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.17 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.31 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.29 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.21 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.89 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.06 |