Birmingham vs Preston match stats & report
4–0 Full time
Birmingham stats & fixtures · Preston stats & fixtures
Birmingham beat Preston 4–0 in the Championship on 13 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.25–0.52. Birmingham had 76% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Birmingham 59%, the draw 24% and Preston 17%.
Birmingham vs Preston match statistics
- 76% Ball possession 24%
- 2.25 Expected goals (xG) 0.52
- 18 Total shots 6
- 5 Shots on target 1
- 3 Shots off target 3
- 10 Blocked shots 2
- 14 Shots inside the box 6
- 5 Corners 3
- 8 Fouls 13
- 3 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 1
- 546 Passes 182
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 34' Goal L. Millar (assist P. Roberts) Birmingham
- 45+2' Goal A. Priske (assist A. Cochrane) Birmingham
- 45+4' Goal A. Priske (assist J. Stansfield) Birmingham
- 47' Yellow card S. Mills Preston
- 50' Yellow card L. Millar Birmingham
- 56' Red card S. Mills Preston
- 76' Goal D. Gray (assist M. Bird) Birmingham
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 59%Birmingham fair odds 1.70
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.09
- 17%Preston fair odds 6.02
Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.31 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.73 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.61 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.10 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.9
Birmingham 7.4 · Preston 3.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 11.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 12.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Birmingham 1.5 · Preston 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Birmingham 5.9 · Preston 3.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.7%
- 2–0 10.9%
- 1–0 10.6%
- 2–1 10.4%
- 0–0 7.3%
- 3–0 6.5%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 1–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Birmingham
Bench R. Allsop , M. Bird , M. Ducksch , D. Fry , T. Gardner-Hickman , D. Gray , E. Laird , Carlos Vicente , L. Vázquez
Preston
Bench J. Erabi , L. Gibson , G. Gryba , L. Lindsay , A. Moran , L. Nicholls , Pol Valentín , A. Vukčević , D. Burgzorg
Out and doubtful
- Paik Seung-Ho Birmingham Out — Health problems
- A. McCann Preston Out — Hamstring Injury
- H. Clarke Preston Out — Knee Injury
- M. Leonard Birmingham Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- S. Wright Birmingham Out — Off the roster
- B. Potts Preston Out — Ankle Injury
- C. Wiley Preston Out — Inactive
- J. Kenny Preston Out — Inactive
- T. Carroll Preston Out — Ankle Injury
- C. Lang Preston Doubtful — Inactive
- S. Mills Preston Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Birmingham at home
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Preston away
0–1–9 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 2.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Birmingham vs Preston head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham v Preston | 2–1 | |
| Preston v Birmingham | 0–1 | |
| Birmingham v Preston | 1–0 | |
| Preston v Birmingham | 2–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 41% | 2.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.55 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.24 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.88 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 17% | 6.02 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.52 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.90 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.54 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.32 |