Millwall vs Swansea match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Millwall lost to Swansea 0–1 in the Championship on 13 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.09–1.85. Millwall had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Millwall 47%, the draw 28% and Swansea 25%.
Millwall vs Swansea match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 1.09 Expected goals (xG) 1.85
- 8 Total shots 14
- 4 Shots on target 2
- 2 Shots off target 5
- 2 Blocked shots 7
- 6 Shots inside the box 9
- 13 Corners 1
- 10 Fouls 11
- 3 Offsides 2
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 326 Passes 349
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 15' Yellow card J. Fulton Swansea
- 23' Yellow card D. Mazou-Sacko Millwall
- 23' Yellow card Swansea
- 44' Yellow card L. Dykes Millwall
- 51' Yellow card Zak Norton Sturge Millwall
- 83' Yellow card F. Lissah Swansea
- 90' Goal Ronald (assist Joseph Okopu) Swansea
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 47%Millwall fair odds 2.12
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.56
- 25%Swansea fair odds 4.04
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.75 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.01 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.46 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.02 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.14 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
Millwall 6.1 · Swansea 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Millwall 1.8 · Swansea 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Millwall 5.2 · Swansea 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 11.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 1–0 10.0%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 0–0 8.7%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 0–1 6.2%
- 2–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Millwall
Bench L. Cundle , A. Doughty , D. Kelly , Y. Issoufou , E. Baggott , R. Leonard , T. Crama , M. Crocombe , Z. Lovelace
Swansea
Bench A. Fisher , A. Idah , Tom Iorpenda , Ronald , R. Stewart , S. Welsh , M. Widell , Eom Ji-Sung , G. Franco
Out and doubtful
- M. Ivanovic Millwall Out — Hamstring Injury
- C. De Norre Millwall Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Coburn Millwall Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Jensen Millwall Out — Muscle Injury
- M. Luongo Millwall Out — Knee Injury
- M. Servais Millwall Out — Inactive
- R. Esse Millwall Out — Ankle Injury
- C. Burgess Swansea Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- J. Key Swansea Out — Muscle Injury
- S. Eustaquio Swansea Out — Shoulder Injury
- A. Idah Swansea Doubtful — Knock
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Millwall at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Swansea away
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Millwall vs Swansea head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall v Swansea | 2–1 | |
| Swansea v Millwall | 1–1 | |
| Millwall v Swansea | 1–0 | |
| Swansea v Millwall | 0–1 | |
| Swansea v Millwall | 0–1 | |
| Millwall v Swansea | 0–3 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.08 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.97 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.04 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.71 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.54 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.88 |