Southampton vs Portsmouth match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Southampton stats & fixtures · Portsmouth stats & fixtures
Southampton beat Portsmouth 1–0 in the Championship on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.35–0.79. Southampton had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Southampton 66%, the draw 21% and Portsmouth 13%.
Southampton vs Portsmouth match statistics
- 51% Ball possession 49%
- 1.35 Expected goals (xG) 0.79
- 7 Total shots 15
- 3 Shots on target 2
- 2 Shots off target 9
- 2 Blocked shots 4
- 6 Shots inside the box 9
- 2 Corners 4
- 11 Fouls 15
- 1 Offsides 3
- 3 Yellow cards 3
- 1 Red cards 0
- 400 Passes 371
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 20' Goal J. Bree (assist F. Azaz) Southampton
- 32' Yellow card C. Bragg Southampton
- 34' Yellow card E. Adams Portsmouth
- 44' Red card C. Bragg Southampton
- 51' Yellow card C. Larin Southampton
- 53' Yellow card J. Meghoma Portsmouth
- 53' Yellow card F. Azaz Southampton
- 69' Yellow card T. Devlin Portsmouth
- 82' Yellow card K. Schlotterbeck Southampton
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 66%Southampton fair odds 1.52
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.82
- 13%Portsmouth fair odds 7.46
Most likely score 2-0 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.90 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.81 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.24 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.8
Southampton 5.9 · Portsmouth 4.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Southampton 1.6 · Portsmouth 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Southampton 5.8 · Portsmouth 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (555 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.8%
- 2–1 10.6%
- 1–1 9.8%
- 1–0 8.9%
- 3–0 7.5%
- 3–1 7.4%
- 0–0 5.3%
- 2–2 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Southampton
Bench D. Mubama , K. Matsuki , G. Long , C. Jander , T. Fellows , S. Edozie , L. Dobbin , Welington , N. Wood-Gordon
Portsmouth
Bench R. Shein , K. Anderson , O. Bailey , D. Bielica , T. Devlin , E. Kenny , Marezi , I. Mohamed , A. Segecic
Out and doubtful
- J. Murphy Portsmouth Out — Groin Injury
- C. Ogilvie Portsmouth Out — Knee Injury
- F. Umeh Portsmouth Out — Hamstring Injury
- L. Brooke-Smith Portsmouth Out — Ankle Injury
- M. Kosznovszky Portsmouth Out — Knee Injury
- T. Waddingham Portsmouth Out — Ankle Injury
- K. Anderson Portsmouth Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- Marezi Portsmouth Doubtful — Calf Injury
- C. Jander Southampton Doubtful — Lacking Match Fitness
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Southampton at home
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Portsmouth away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Southampton vs Portsmouth head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth v Southampton | 1–1 | |
| Southampton v Portsmouth | 0–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.38 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home clean sheet | 39% | 2.56 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.26 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.15 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.46 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 9.20 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 20.33 |