Middlesbrough vs Wolves match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Middlesbrough stats & fixtures · Wolves stats & fixtures
Middlesbrough beat Wolves 1–0 in the Championship on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.00–0.60. Middlesbrough had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Middlesbrough 47%, the draw 26% and Wolves 26%.
Middlesbrough vs Wolves match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 1.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.60
- 14 Total shots 12
- 6 Shots on target 2
- 7 Shots off target 9
- 1 Blocked shots 1
- 7 Shots inside the box 6
- 4 Corners 6
- 10 Fouls 12
- 4 Offsides 2
- 3 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 493 Passes 443
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 11' Yellow card S. Berhalter Middlesbrough
- 12' Yellow card N. Djiga Wolves
- 40' Yellow card Neto Borges Middlesbrough
- 53' Yellow card R. Said Wolves
- 57' Goal W. Lankshear (assist T. Conway) Middlesbrough
- 66' Yellow card J. Bellegarde Wolves
- 90+4' Yellow card M. Peart-Harris Middlesbrough
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 47%Middlesbrough fair odds 2.11
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.79
- 26%Wolves fair odds 3.81
Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 6.05 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.50 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.40 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.8
Middlesbrough 6.6 · Wolves 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Middlesbrough 1.6 · Wolves 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Middlesbrough 5.2 · Wolves 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (545 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.5%
- 2–1 9.8%
- 1–0 8.1%
- 2–0 7.9%
- 0–0 6.9%
- 1–2 6.8%
- 2–2 5.6%
- 3–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Middlesbrough
Bench M. Peart-Harris , J. Sarmiento , M. Arfsten , L. Ayling , C. Barron , S. Brynn , S. Byram , Leo Castledine , K. Joseph
Wolves
Bench J. James , G. Konan , L. Krejci , Fer López , S. Neave , R. Said , J. Tchatchoua , João Virgínia , J. Bellegarde
Out and doubtful
- A. Jones Middlesbrough Out — Calf Injury
- Y. Mosquera Wolves Out — Ankle Injury
- R. Jimenez Wolves Out — Knee Injury
- R. Said Wolves Out — Knee Injury
- Fer López Wolves Doubtful — Health problems
- J. James Wolves Doubtful — Health problems
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Middlesbrough at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.3 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Wolves away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.91 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.34 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.35 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.90 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.25 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.81 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.72 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.10 |