Bolton vs Stoke City match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Bolton stats & fixtures · Stoke City stats & fixtures
Bolton lost to Stoke City 1–2 in the Championship on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.96–0.71. Bolton had 68% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bolton 42%, the draw 29% and Stoke City 29%.
Bolton vs Stoke City match statistics
- 68% Ball possession 32%
- 2.96 Expected goals (xG) 0.71
- 30 Total shots 9
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 13 Shots off target 4
- 12 Blocked shots 1
- 23 Shots inside the box 6
- 10 Corners 4
- 8 Fouls 9
- 0 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 546 Passes 265
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 20' Red card M. Talovierov Stoke City
- 34' Yellow card J. McGlynn Stoke City
- 45+4' Goal L. Cisse (assist E. Galbraith) Stoke City
- 62' Goal B. Wilmot (assist J. McGlynn) Stoke City
- 72' Yellow card M. Conway Bolton
- 90+2' Goal T. Bair (assist Gaizka Larrazabal) Bolton
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 42%Bolton fair odds 2.40
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.47
- 29%Stoke City fair odds 3.39
Most likely score 1-1 (13.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.77 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.08 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.31 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.00 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.18 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Bolton 5.6 · Stoke City 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Bolton 1.8 · Stoke City 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Bolton 4.9 · Stoke City 4.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 11.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (545 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.8%
- 1–0 9.1%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 2–0 7.6%
- 1–2 7.3%
- 0–1 7.1%
- 0–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Bolton
Bench J. Nelson , X. Simons , T. Bair , J. Bonham , L. Brunt , A. Famewo , R. Hardie , S. Iling-Junior , A. Ito
Stoke City
Bench L. Bombino , R. Boženík , J. Griffiths , G. Hirst , B. Lawal , M. Manhoef , B. Pearson , J. Tchamadeu , Bae Jun-Ho
Out and doubtful
- C. Forino-Joseph Bolton Out — Groin Injury
- L. Stephenson Bolton Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Cresswell Stoke City Out — Knee Injury
- S. Ingelsson Stoke City Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Brunt Bolton Doubtful — Hamstring Injury
- E. Galbraith Stoke City Doubtful — Injury
- J. McGlynn Stoke City Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Bolton at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Stoke City away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bolton vs Stoke City head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton v Stoke City | 0–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.85 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.40 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.75 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.38 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.24 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 58% | 1.72 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.19 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.39 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.61 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.80 |