Blackburn vs Cardiff match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Blackburn beat Cardiff 2–1 in the Championship on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.79–1.06. Cardiff had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Blackburn 44%, the draw 28% and Cardiff 29%.
Blackburn vs Cardiff match statistics
- 42% Ball possession 58%
- 1.79 Expected goals (xG) 1.06
- 17 Total shots 10
- 8 Shots on target 1
- 5 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 5
- 13 Shots inside the box 8
- 11 Corners 6
- 9 Fouls 6
- 4 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 327 Passes 465
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 28' Goal A. Guðjohnsen Blackburn
- 38' Goal T. Cantwell (assist R. Morishita) Blackburn
- 53' Goal C. Robinson (assist J. Moylan) Cardiff
- 90+6' Yellow card T. Cantwell Blackburn
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Blackburn fair odds 2.29
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.59
- 29%Cardiff fair odds 3.51
Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.18 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.45 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.27 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.8
Blackburn 5.4 · Cardiff 5.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Blackburn 2.1 · Cardiff 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.1
Blackburn 4.5 · Cardiff 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (545 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.3%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 1–0 8.7%
- 0–0 8.0%
- 2–0 7.7%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 0–1 6.4%
- 2–2 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Blackburn
Bench T. Atcheson , M. Baradji , Gady Beyuku , D. De Neve , J. Fevrier , J. Garrett , A. Kargbo , A. Pears , H. Pates
Cardiff
Bench R. Kpakio , P. Moreno , C. Scanlon , D. Turnbull , H. Tyrer , C. Willock , W. Fish , I. Davies , Charlie Holt
Out and doubtful
- L. Miller Blackburn Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- M. Jorgensen Blackburn Out — Hamstring Injury
- C. Chambers Cardiff Out — Knee Injury
- K. Bielik Cardiff Out — Suspended
- R. Colwill Cardiff Out — Ankle Injury
- A. Forshaw Blackburn Out — Hip Injury
- M. Litherland Blackburn Out — Muscle Injury
- S. Wharton Blackburn Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- Y. Ohashi Blackburn Out — Hamstring Injury
- Y. Ribeiro Blackburn Out — Hamstring Injury
- D. Lawlor Cardiff Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Kargbo Blackburn Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- I. Davies Cardiff Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- W. Fish Cardiff Doubtful — Hernia
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Blackburn at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cardiff away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 6.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Blackburn vs Cardiff head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn v Cardiff | 1–2 | |
| Cardiff v Blackburn | 1–3 | |
| Cardiff v Blackburn | 0–0 | |
| Blackburn v Cardiff | 1–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.49 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.30 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.12 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.57 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.77 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.77 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.51 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.97 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.02 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.29 |