Swansea vs Norwich match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Swansea beat Norwich 2–1 in the Championship on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.25–0.61. Swansea had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Swansea 43%, the draw 27% and Norwich 30%.
Swansea vs Norwich match statistics
- 57% Ball possession 43%
- 2.25 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
- 12 Total shots 11
- 8 Shots on target 5
- 3 Shots off target 3
- 1 Blocked shots 3
- 7 Shots inside the box 7
- 3 Corners 2
- 10 Fouls 8
- 2 Offsides 6
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 546 Passes 407
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 22' Yellow card J. Fulton Swansea
- 28' Goal Jacob Wright (assist O. Schwartau) Norwich
- 49' Goal M. Yeo (assist J. Tymon) Swansea
- 58' Yellow card P. Mattsson Norwich
- 59' Goal A. Idah (assist M. Widell) Swansea
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 43%Swansea fair odds 2.30
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.71
- 30%Norwich fair odds 3.38
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.11 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.14 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.23 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.42 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.2
Swansea 5.0 · Norwich 5.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Swansea 1.7 · Norwich 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Swansea 4.4 · Norwich 4.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (545 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 2–1 9.4%
- 1–0 7.7%
- 1–2 7.4%
- 2–0 7.2%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 0–1 5.8%
- 2–2 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Swansea
Bench Eom Ji-Sung , A. Fisher , Tom Iorpenda , E. Just , Tiago Parente , J. Seelt , M. Stamenić , R. Stewart , Z. Vipotnik
Norwich
Bench J. Makama , A. Musaba , A. Ben Slimane , D. Grimshaw , K. Fisher , S. Field , H. Darling , A. Crnac , B. Chrisene
Out and doubtful
- A. Ahmed Norwich Out — Knee Injury
- B. Chrisene Norwich Out — Injury
- M. Topic Norwich Out — Knee Injury
- M. Toure Norwich Out — Shoulder Injury
- K. McLean Norwich Out — Injury
- L. Mahovo Norwich Out — Ankle Injury
- P. A. Diallo Norwich Out — Injury
- C. Burgess Swansea Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- J. Key Swansea Out — Muscle Injury
- R. Stewart Swansea Out — Muscle Injury
- S. Eustaquio Swansea Out — Shoulder Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Swansea at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Norwich away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Swansea vs Norwich head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich v Swansea | 1–1 | |
| Swansea v Norwich | 2–1 | |
| Norwich v Swansea | 5–1 | |
| Swansea v Norwich | 1–0 | |
| Norwich v Swansea | 2–2 | |
| Swansea v Norwich | 2–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.30 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.42 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.71 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.16 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home clean sheet | 28% | 3.60 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 57% | 1.77 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.77 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.72 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.38 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.88 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.44 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.16 |