West Brom vs Birmingham match stats & report
0–1 Full time
West Brom stats & fixtures · Birmingham stats & fixtures
West Brom lost to Birmingham 0–1 in the Championship on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.13–2.60. West Brom had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave West Brom 35%, the draw 31% and Birmingham 33%.
West Brom vs Birmingham match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 1.13 Expected goals (xG) 2.60
- 14 Total shots 15
- 2 Shots on target 7
- 8 Shots off target 2
- 4 Blocked shots 6
- 9 Shots inside the box 13
- 7 Corners 9
- 8 Fouls 12
- 0 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 494 Passes 420
- 6 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 8' Yellow card R. Nzingoula West Brom
- 31' Yellow card A. Cochrane Birmingham
- 41' Penalty scored A. Priske Birmingham
- 75' Yellow card Carlos Vicente Birmingham
- 79' Yellow card J. Stansfield Birmingham
- 89' Yellow card J. Morgan West Brom
- 89' Yellow card B. Osayi-Samuel Birmingham
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 35%West Brom fair odds 2.82
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.18
- 33%Birmingham fair odds 3.02
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.89 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.62 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 8.71 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.95 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.2
West Brom 5.3 · Birmingham 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.8
West Brom 1.8 · Birmingham 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
West Brom 4.5 · Birmingham 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (545 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 11.5%
- 1–0 10.0%
- 0–1 9.5%
- 2–1 7.9%
- 1–2 7.5%
- 2–0 6.9%
- 0–2 6.4%
Team news & lineups
West Brom
Bench Harry Whitwell , T. Bany , G. Campbell , M. Crowther , M. Ingram , J. Molumby , I. Price , B. Stewart , C. Townsend
Birmingham
Bench D. Fry , T. Gardner-Hickman , D. Gray , E. Laird , P. Roberts , L. Vázquez , M. Ducksch , M. Bird , R. Allsop
Out and doubtful
- Paik Seung-Ho Birmingham Out — Health problems
- M. Johnston West Brom Out — Broken Leg
- N. Galves West Brom Out — Knee Injury
- M. Leonard Birmingham Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- S. Wright Birmingham Out — Off the roster
- D. Gray Birmingham Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- M. Bird Birmingham Doubtful — Calf Injury
- T. Gardner-Hickman Birmingham Doubtful — Hamstring Injury
- C. Styles West Brom Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
West Brom at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Birmingham away
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
West Brom vs Birmingham head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham v West Brom | 0–0 | |
| West Brom v Birmingham | 1–1 | |
| Birmingham v West Brom | 4–1 | |
| West Brom v Birmingham | 1–0 | |
| Birmingham v West Brom | 3–1 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.11 |
| Away clean sheet | 31% | 3.27 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 65% | 1.55 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.82 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.38 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.55 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.33 |