Rochdale vs Swindon Town match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Rochdale stats & fixtures · Swindon Town stats & fixtures
Rochdale beat Swindon Town 1–0 in League Two on 3 October 2026. Rochdale had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Rochdale 32%, the draw 28% and Swindon Town 41%.
Rochdale vs Swindon Town match statistics
- 60% Ball possession 40%
- 15 Total shots 12
- 5 Shots on target 2
- 5 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 5
- 12 Shots inside the box 9
- 11 Corners 5
- 7 Fouls 18
- 4 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 1
- 468 Passes 307
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 81' Yellow card K. Majekodunmi Swindon Town
- 85' Red card K. Majekodunmi Swindon Town
- 88' Goal C. Hayes (assist A. Flint) Rochdale
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 32%Rochdale fair odds 3.16
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.60
- 41%Swindon Town fair odds 2.47
Most likely score 1-1 (13.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.34 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.80 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.99 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.34 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Rochdale 5.5 · Swindon Town 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Rochdale 1.5 · Swindon Town 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 7.9
Rochdale 3.6 · Swindon Town 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 7.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 8.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 9.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (531 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.2%
- 1–2 9.0%
- 0–1 7.9%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 0–0 7.7%
- 0–2 6.9%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Rochdale
Bench S. Beckwith , E. Dieseruvwe , L. Hannant , C. Hayes , I. Henderson , Z. Silcott-Duberry , Sam William John Waller
Swindon Town
Bench D. Butterworth , O. Clarke , J. Debayo , J. Hungbo , J. Pearman , Lewis Moore Ward , L. Millard
Form guide
Rochdale at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Swindon Town away
1–2–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.5 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 20% | 4.93 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.47 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.62 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.68 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 59% | 1.68 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.38 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.71 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.16 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 6.91 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.11 |