Crewe vs Bristol Rovers match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Crewe stats & fixtures · Bristol Rovers stats & fixtures
Crewe beat Bristol Rovers 3–1 in League Two on 3 October 2026. Bristol Rovers had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Crewe 37%, the draw 30% and Bristol Rovers 33%.
Crewe vs Bristol Rovers match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 9 Total shots 15
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 2 Shots off target 4
- 3 Blocked shots 7
- 5 Shots inside the box 10
- 3 Corners 5
- 13 Fouls 23
- 1 Offsides 1
- 4 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 287 Passes 295
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 1' Goal J. Lankester (assist J. Tabiner) Crewe
- 8' Yellow card J. March Crewe
- 8' Yellow card T. James Bristol Rovers
- 10' Yellow card J. Stephenson Crewe
- 21' Penalty scored J. Lankester Crewe
- 30' Yellow card C. Kelly Bristol Rovers
- 38' Yellow card O. Lunt Crewe
- 66' Goal J. Gibson (assist J. March) Crewe
- 77' Yellow card Keenan Gough Bristol Rovers
- 79' Yellow card C. Thomas Crewe
- 89' Yellow card C. Mola Bristol Rovers
- 90+2' Goal B. Kamwa (assist C. Mola) Bristol Rovers
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 37%Crewe fair odds 2.69
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.38
- 33%Bristol Rovers fair odds 3.01
Most likely score 1-1 (14.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.01 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.80 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.57 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.13 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Crewe 5.2 · Bristol Rovers 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Crewe 1.5 · Bristol Rovers 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Crewe 3.7 · Bristol Rovers 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 8.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (531 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.2%
- 0–0 9.5%
- 1–0 8.8%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 0–1 8.1%
- 1–2 7.8%
- 2–0 6.8%
- 0–2 6.0%
Team news & lineups
Crewe
Bench J. Gibson , I. Lawlor , C. McNeill , L. Moore , C. Thomas , Joel Ewusi , Stan Dancey
Bristol Rovers
Bench J. Quigley , B. Purrington , S. Forde , P. Sanyaolu , Charlie Binns , Keenan Gough
Form guide
Crewe at home
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bristol Rovers away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Crewe vs Bristol Rovers head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers v Crewe | 2–1 | |
| Crewe v Bristol Rovers | 1–1 | |
| Crewe v Bristol Rovers | 2–4 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.41 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.69 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.77 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.59 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.69 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 6.91 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.01 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.88 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.70 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.87 |