Colchester vs Port Vale prediction & stats

League Two · England · Regular Season - 9 · Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester

Colchester stats & fixtures · Port Vale stats & fixtures

Colchester take on Port Vale in League Two on 3 October 2026. The Ghost makes Colchester favourites at 39%, with the draw at 32%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 47%.

Colchester vs Port Vale prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals88%1.14
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals40%2.53
Over 3.5 goals19%5.17
Over 4.5 goals8%12.53
Under 0.5 goals12%8.31
Under 1.5 goals32%3.11
Under 2.5 goals60%1.65
Under 3.5 goals81%1.24
Under 4.5 goals92%1.09
Both teams to score: Yes47%2.11
Both teams to score: No53%1.90

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.9%
  2. 0–0 12.0%
  3. 1–0 11.1%
  4. 0–1 9.0%
  5. 2–1 8.2%
  6. 2–0 7.8%
  7. 1–2 6.8%
  8. 0–2 5.6%

Form guide

Colchester at home

2–5–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.3 per game
Shots on target
3.2 per game

43% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Port Vale away

3–1–6 in 10 matches

Scored
0.9 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
5.4 per game
Shots on target
2.9 per game

11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Colchester vs Port Vale head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Colchester v Port Vale 2–1
Port Vale v Colchester 1–1

Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Colchester vs Port Vale head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 88% 1.14
Away +1.5 handicap 82% 1.21
Home Over 0.5 team goals 71% 1.41
Home/Draw double chance 71% 1.42
Home +0.5 handicap 71% 1.42
Home/Away double chance 68% 1.46
Away Over 0.5 team goals 65% 1.55
Away +0.5 handicap 61% 1.63
Draw/Away double chance 61% 1.63
Home -0.5 handicap 39% 2.58
Home clean sheet 35% 2.83
Home Over 1.5 team goals 35% 2.88
Away -0.5 handicap 29% 3.40
Away clean sheet 29% 3.41
Away Over 1.5 team goals 28% 3.58
Home -1.5 handicap 18% 5.69
Home Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.96
Away -1.5 handicap 12% 8.37
Away Over 2.5 team goals 9% 11.32